Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alianza Atletico welcome Sporting Cristal to Estadio Campeones del 36 for a Primera División fixture on Friday 21 August (21:00 WAT). In the table, Alianza Atletico are 7th, upper half, on 28 points after 16 matches; Sporting Cristal are 2nd (among the top four) with 32.
Current form
Alianza Atletico, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with ADT, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Sporting Cristal, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Sport Huancayo, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alianza Atletico 1.3 xG, Sporting Cristal 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza Atletico 36%, draw 23%, Sporting Cristal 41%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza Atletico 1–1 Sporting Cristal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alianza Atletico36%fair 2.79 · @2.82
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.25
Sporting Cristal41%fair 2.42 · @2.46
2.70Expected goals
1.29Alianza Atletico xG
1.41Sporting Cristal xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Alianza Atletico 1.3 – 1.4 Sporting Cristal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting Cristal to win✗
41%
2.42
2.46
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.70
Draw no bet
Sporting Cristal (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Alianza Atletico +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.10
First team to score
Sporting Cristal to score first✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting Cristal / FT Sporting Cristal✗
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.60
–
Recent results
Alianza Atletico – last 6
DWLWLW
15 Aug
@ ADT
1–1
D
6 Aug
vs Cienciano
1–0
W
2 Aug
@ Alianza Lima
1–3
L
24 Jul
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
3–1
W
19 Jul
@ Cusco
1–4
L
10 Jul
vs Molinos El Pirata
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sporting Cristal – last 6
WDWLLD
16 Aug
vs Sport Huancayo
4–1
W
8 Aug
@ Universitario
1–1
D
2 Aug
vs Juan Pablo II College
2–0
W
30 Jul
@ RB Bragantino
0–1
L
26 Jul
@ FBC Melgar
1–2
L
23 Jul
vs RB Bragantino
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alianza Atletico and Sporting Cristal.
What is the prediction for Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal?
On our numbers Alianza Atletico have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sporting Cristal 41%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal?
Our predicted score is Alianza Atletico 1–1 Sporting Cristal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal?
Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Campeones del 36.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
