Value bet: Atletico Grau to win @ 3.65 – our chance 32% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFC Cajamarca to win ✗46% · @2.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.34
FC Cajamarca vs Atletico Grau: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 21 August the Primera División brings FC Cajamarca against Atletico Grau at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, FC Cajamarca are 14th, lower half, on 14 points after 16 matches; Atletico Grau are 11th (lower half) with 21.
Current form
FC Cajamarca, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Universitario, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Atletico Grau, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Comerciantes Unidos, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Atletico Grau, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for FC Cajamarca.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Mar 2026) it ended Atletico Grau 1–0 FC Cajamarca.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Cajamarca 1.4 xG, Atletico Grau 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Cajamarca 46%, draw 23%, Atletico Grau 32%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Atletico Grau to win @3.65 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Cajamarca 1–1 Atletico Grau. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Cajamarca46%fair 2.20 · @2.02
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.30
Atletico Grau32%fair 3.14 · @3.65
2.50Expected goals
1.39FC Cajamarca xG
1.11Atletico Grau xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: FC Cajamarca 1.4 – 1.1 Atletico Grau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC Cajamarca vs Atletico Grau?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FC Cajamarca vs Atletico Grau?
On our numbers FC Cajamarca have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Atletico Grau 32%.
How many goals will there be in FC Cajamarca vs Atletico Grau?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Cajamarca vs Atletico Grau?
Our predicted score is FC Cajamarca 1–1 Atletico Grau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is FC Cajamarca vs Atletico Grau?
FC Cajamarca vs Atletico Grau (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
