UTC Cajamarca v Comerciantes Unidos Prediction & Expected Goals (22 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultUTC Cajamarca to win ✗57% · @1.92

Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.83

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.72

UTC Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Comerciantes Unidos travel to face UTC Cajamarca on Saturday 22 August in the Primera División, with Estadio Heroes de San Ramon the venue – the ball rolls at 19:15 WAT. In the table, UTC Cajamarca are 18th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 16 matches; Comerciantes Unidos are 13th (lower half) with 16.

Current form

UTC Cajamarca, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Alianza Lima, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Comerciantes Unidos, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Atletico Grau, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give UTC Cajamarca 1.6 xG, Comerciantes Unidos 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – UTC Cajamarca 57%, draw 21%, Comerciantes Unidos 22%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: UTC Cajamarca to win @1.92 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: UTC Cajamarca 1–0 Comerciantes Unidos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

UTC Cajamarca57%fair 1.77 · @1.92

Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.30

Comerciantes Unidos22%fair 4.47 · @4.10

2.54Expected goals

1.64UTC Cajamarca xG

0.90Comerciantes Unidos xG

50%Both score

46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%

1–112%

2–011%

2–110%

0–08%

0–17%

From our goals model: UTC Cajamarca 1.6 – 0.9 Comerciantes Unidos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	UTC Cajamarca to win ✗	57%	1.77	1.92 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	79%	1.27	1.25
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	50%	1.98	1.83
Draw no bet	UTC Cajamarca (draw no bet) ✗	72%	1.40	–
Asian handicap	Comerciantes Unidos +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	60%	1.66	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	70%	1.42	1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	54%	1.84	1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	75%	1.33	1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	88%	1.13	1.07
First team to score	UTC Cajamarca to score first	59%	1.68	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	43%	2.34	–
Half-time / full-time	HT UTC Cajamarca / FT UTC Cajamarca ✗	33%	2.99	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	13%	7.72	–

UTC Cajamarca – last 6

LDLDLW

16 Aug	@ Alianza Lima	0–1	L
8 Aug	vs ADT	1–1	D
2 Aug	@ Cusco	1–4	L
26 Jul	vs UCV Moquegua	0–0	D
18 Jul	@ Atletico Grau	1–3	L
12 Jul	vs Deportiva Agropecuaria	4–1	W

1.2Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Comerciantes Unidos – last 6

LWLDDD

14 Aug	@ Atletico Grau	0–1	L
7 Aug	vs Cusco	3–1	W
31 Jul	@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas	2–3	L
26 Jul	vs Alianza Lima	2–2	D
18 Jul	@ UCV Moquegua	2–2	D
27 Jun	vs Juan Pablo II College	0–0	D

1.5Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	33	20	9	4	+30	69
2	Universitario	33	17	10	6	+20	61
3	FBC Melgar	33	16	9	8	+18	57
4	Deportivo Garcilaso	33	16	7	10	+15	55
5	Sporting Cristal	33	15	6	12	+15	51
6	Cusco	33	16	3	14	-1	51
7	Cienciano	33	15	5	13	+8	50
8	Sport Huancayo	33	15	5	13	-1	50
9	Alianza Atletico	33	14	7	12	+1	49
10	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	33	13	9	11	-12	48
11	Sport Boys	33	12	10	11	+2	46
12	Juan Pablo II College	33	11	8	14	-11	41
13	Comerciantes Unidos	33	8	13	12	-3	37
14	Atletico Grau	33	10	7	16	-9	37
15	ADT	33	7	11	15	-12	32
16	FC Cajamarca	33	8	7	18	-19	31
17	UCV Moquegua	33	7	9	17	-21	30
18	UTC Cajamarca	33	5	9	19	-20	19

Team

Pts

+30

+20

+18

+15

+15

-1

-1

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

-12

Sport Boys

Juan Pablo II College

-11

-3

-9

-12

-19

-21

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for UTC Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win UTC Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos?

On our numbers UTC Cajamarca have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Comerciantes Unidos 22%.

How many goals will there be in UTC Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for UTC Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Our predicted score is UTC Cajamarca 1–0 Comerciantes Unidos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is UTC Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos?

UTC Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

UTC Cajamarca v Comerciantes Unidos: numbers & prediction