Sport Huancayo v UCV Moquegua Prediction & Expected Goals (22 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSport Huancayo to win ✗65% · @1.36

Double chanceSport Huancayo or draw ✗87% · @1.06

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.95

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.40

Sport Huancayo vs UCV Moquegua: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sport Huancayo welcome UCV Moquegua to Estadio Huancayo for a Primera División fixture on Saturday 22 August (17:00 WAT). In the table, Sport Huancayo are 1st, leading the league, on 34 points after 16 matches; UCV Moquegua are 17th (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Sport Huancayo, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Sporting Cristal, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

UCV Moquegua, last 5: DLDDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sport Boys, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Sport Huancayo, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for UCV Moquegua.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sport Huancayo 2.0 xG, UCV Moquegua 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Sport Huancayo 65%, draw 22%, UCV Moquegua 13%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sport Huancayo 2–0 UCV Moquegua. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sport Huancayo65%fair 1.54 · @1.36

Draw22%fair 4.53 · @4.45

UCV Moquegua13%fair 7.74 · @9.00

2.72Expected goals

1.96Sport Huancayo xG

0.76UCV Moquegua xG

53%Both score

53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%

2–013%

1–110%

2–110%

3–08%

0–07%

From our goals model: Sport Huancayo 2.0 – 0.8 UCV Moquegua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Sport Huancayo to win ✗	65%	1.54	1.36
Double chance	Sport Huancayo or draw ✗	87%	1.15	1.06
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	53%	1.90	1.95
Draw no bet	Sport Huancayo (draw no bet) ✗	83%	1.20	–
Asian handicap	Sport Huancayo -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	66%	1.52	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	76%	1.32	1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	53%	1.90	1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	69%	1.45	1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	84%	1.19	1.15
First team to score	Sport Huancayo to score first ✗	67%	1.48	–
Half-time result	Sport Huancayo ahead at half-time ✗	47%	2.14	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Sport Huancayo / FT Sport Huancayo ✗	42%	2.37	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.40	–

Sport Huancayo – last 6

LDWWLW

16 Aug	@ Sporting Cristal	1–4	L
7 Aug	vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas	1–1	D
1 Aug	@ FC Cajamarca	2–0	W
25 Jul	vs Atletico Grau	2–0	W
20 Jul	@ Alianza Lima	1–2	L
11 Jul	vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas	3–1	W

1.7Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

UCV Moquegua – last 6

DLDDDD

16 Aug	vs Sport Boys	1–1	D
9 Aug	@ Deportivo Garcilaso	0–2	L
2 Aug	vs FBC Melgar	0–0	D
26 Jul	@ UTC Cajamarca	0–0	D
18 Jul	vs Comerciantes Unidos	2–2	D
12 Jul	vs Deportivo Garcilaso	0–0	D

0.5Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

33%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	33	20	9	4	+30	69
2	Universitario	33	17	10	6	+20	61
3	FBC Melgar	33	16	9	8	+18	57
4	Deportivo Garcilaso	33	16	7	10	+15	55
5	Sporting Cristal	33	15	6	12	+15	51
6	Cusco	33	16	3	14	-1	51
7	Cienciano	33	15	5	13	+8	50
8	Sport Huancayo	33	15	5	13	-1	50
9	Alianza Atletico	33	14	7	12	+1	49
10	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	33	13	9	11	-12	48
11	Sport Boys	33	12	10	11	+2	46
12	Juan Pablo II College	33	11	8	14	-11	41
13	Comerciantes Unidos	33	8	13	12	-3	37
14	Atletico Grau	33	10	7	16	-9	37
15	ADT	33	7	11	15	-12	32
16	FC Cajamarca	33	8	7	18	-19	31
17	UCV Moquegua	33	7	9	17	-21	30
18	UTC Cajamarca	33	5	9	19	-20	19

Team

Pts

+30

+20

+18

+15

+15

-1

-1

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

-12

Sport Boys

Juan Pablo II College

-11

-3

-9

-12

-19

-21

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sport Huancayo vs UCV Moquegua?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Sport Huancayo vs UCV Moquegua?

On our numbers Sport Huancayo have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and UCV Moquegua 13%.

How many goals will there be in Sport Huancayo vs UCV Moquegua?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sport Huancayo vs UCV Moquegua?

Our predicted score is Sport Huancayo 2–0 UCV Moquegua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Sport Huancayo vs UCV Moquegua?

Sport Huancayo vs UCV Moquegua (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Huancayo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Sport Huancayo v UCV Moquegua: numbers & prediction