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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Deportivo Garcilaso v Cusco: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Peru · Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
4–1
FT

Cusco

WLWLW
Deportivo Garcilaso 37%Draw 24%Cusco 39% Expected goals 1.23 – 1.27
53%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.90 · bookmaker 1.83 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.83Odds
2

Value bet: Cusco to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCusco to win ✗39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.24

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Deportivo Garcilaso welcome Cusco to Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega for a Primera División fixture on Sunday 23 August (01:00 WAT). In the table, Deportivo Garcilaso are 4th, among the top four, on 29 points after 16 matches; Cusco are 10th (lower half) with 24.

Current form

Deportivo Garcilaso, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Cienciano, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Cusco, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Juan Pablo II College, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Jun 2026) it ended Deportivo Garcilaso 0–0 Cusco. The last 2 head-to-heads: Deportivo Garcilaso 0 wins, Cusco 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 0.5 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Garcilaso 1.2 xG, Cusco 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Garcilaso 37%, draw 24%, Cusco 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.
  • Price worth noting: Cusco to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Garcilaso 1–1 Cusco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Garcilaso37%fair 2.72 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.00
Cusco39%fair 2.56 · @2.75
2.50Expected goals
1.23Deportivo Garcilaso xG
1.27Cusco xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Deportivo Garcilaso 1.2 – 1.3 Cusco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCusco to win ✗39%2.562.75 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.901.83
Draw no betCusco (draw no bet) ✗52%1.94–
Asian handicapDeportivo Garcilaso +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗89%1.12–
First team to scoreCusco to score first ✗47%2.14–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cusco / FT Cusco ✗22%4.62–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.24–

Recent results

Deportivo Garcilaso – last 6

DWWWLD
17 Aug@ Cienciano0–0D
9 Augvs UCV Moquegua2–0W
2 Aug@ ADT1–0W
27 Julvs FC Cajamarca2–1W
17 Jul@ Sporting Cristal0–1L
12 Jul@ UCV Moquegua0–0D
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Cusco – last 6

WLWLWL
15 Augvs Juan Pablo II College2–0W
7 Aug@ Comerciantes Unidos1–3L
2 Augvs UTC Cajamarca4–1W
25 Jul@ Universitario1–2L
19 Julvs Alianza Atletico4–1W
29 Junvs Cienciano1–2L
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Jun 2026Deportivo Garcilaso v Cusco0–0
8 Mar 2026Cusco v Deportivo Garcilaso1–0
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alianza Lima332094+3069
2Universitario3317106+2061
3FBC Melgar331698+1857
4Deportivo Garcilaso3316710+1555
5Sporting Cristal3315612+1551
6Cusco3316314-151
7Cienciano3315513+850
8Sport Huancayo3315513-150
9Alianza Atletico3314712+149
10Club Deportivo Los Chankas3313911-1248
11Sport Boys33121011+246
12Juan Pablo II College3311814-1141
13Comerciantes Unidos3381312-337
14Atletico Grau3310716-937
15ADT3371115-1232
16FC Cajamarca338718-1931
17UCV Moquegua337917-2130
18UTC Cajamarca335919-2019

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.

Who will win Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco?

On our numbers Deportivo Garcilaso have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cusco 39%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Garcilaso 1–1 Cusco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco?

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.