Double chanceAlianza Atletico or draw ✓81% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7% · fair 14.66
Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 4 September the Primera División brings Alianza Atletico against UTC Cajamarca at Estadio Campeones del 36. Kick-off: 21:15 WAT. In the table, Alianza Atletico are 7th, upper half, on 28 points after 16 matches; UTC Cajamarca are 18th (in the drop zone) with 6. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Alianza Atletico, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over UCV Moquegua, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
UTC Cajamarca, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Universitario, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Alianza Atletico, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.3 for UTC Cajamarca.
Head to head
When they last met (25 Aug 2026) it ended Alianza Atletico 1–1 UTC Cajamarca.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alianza Atletico 1.8 xG, UTC Cajamarca 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza Atletico 61%, draw 21%, UTC Cajamarca 19%.
Lower-risk option: Alianza Atletico or draw (81%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza Atletico 2–0 UTC Cajamarca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alianza Atletico61%fair 1.64 · @1.64
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.75
UTC Cajamarca19%fair 5.39 · @5.20
2.73Expected goals
1.84Alianza Atletico xG
0.88UTC Cajamarca xG
47%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Alianza Atletico 1.8 – 0.9 UTC Cajamarca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca?
On our numbers Alianza Atletico have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and UTC Cajamarca 19%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca?
Our predicted score is Alianza Atletico 2–0 UTC Cajamarca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca?
Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Campeones del 36.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
