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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Cajamarca v Cienciano: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Peru · Estadio Heroes de San Ramon
2–5
FT
FC Cajamarca 37%Draw 21%Cienciano 41% Expected goals 1.48 – 1.57
79%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: FC Cajamarca to win @ 2.98 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCienciano to win ✓41% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.55

FC Cajamarca vs Cienciano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Cienciano travel to face FC Cajamarca on Friday 4 September in the Primera División, with Estadio Heroes de San Ramon the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, FC Cajamarca are 14th, lower half, on 14 points after 16 matches; Cienciano are 12th (lower half) with 17. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

FC Cajamarca, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Comerciantes Unidos, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Cienciano, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Cusco, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Mar 2026) it ended Cienciano 3–0 FC Cajamarca.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Cajamarca 1.5 xG, Cienciano 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Cajamarca 37%, draw 21%, Cienciano 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.55.
  • Price worth noting: FC Cajamarca to win @2.98 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Cajamarca 1–1 Cienciano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Cajamarca37%fair 2.69 · @2.98
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.50
Cienciano41%fair 2.41 · @2.22
3.05Expected goals
1.48FC Cajamarca xG
1.57Cienciano xG
63%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: FC Cajamarca 1.5 – 1.6 Cienciano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCienciano to win ✓41%2.412.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.581.55
Draw no betCienciano (draw no bet) ✓53%1.90–
Asian handicapFC Cajamarca +1 (Asian handicap) ✗75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.751.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗65%1.551.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗81%1.241.17
First team to scoreCienciano to score first49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.55–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cienciano / FT Cienciano ✓24%4.20–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.55–

Recent results

FC Cajamarca – last 6

WLLWLL
28 Aug@ Comerciantes Unidos3–2W
21 Augvs Atletico Grau1–3L
16 Augvs Universitario2–3L
9 Aug@ FBC Melgar4–2W
1 Augvs Sport Huancayo0–2L
27 Jul@ Deportivo Garcilaso1–2L
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Cienciano – last 6

LLLDWL
31 Augvs Cusco1–2L
23 Aug@ Sport Boys1–5L
21 Aug@ Botafogo0–1L
17 Augvs Deportivo Garcilaso0–0D
14 Augvs Botafogo6–1W
6 Aug@ Alianza Atletico0–1L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Mar 2026Cienciano v FC Cajamarca3–0
FC Cajamarca vs Cienciano head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alianza Lima332094+3069
2Universitario3317106+2061
3FBC Melgar331698+1857
4Deportivo Garcilaso3316710+1555
5Sporting Cristal3315612+1551
6Cusco3316314-151
7Cienciano3315513+850
8Sport Huancayo3315513-150
9Alianza Atletico3314712+149
10Club Deportivo Los Chankas3313911-1248
11Sport Boys33121011+246
12Juan Pablo II College3311814-1141
13Comerciantes Unidos3381312-337
14Atletico Grau3310716-937
15ADT3371115-1232
16FC Cajamarca338718-1931
17UCV Moquegua337917-2130
18UTC Cajamarca335919-2019

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Cajamarca vs Cienciano?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win FC Cajamarca vs Cienciano?

On our numbers FC Cajamarca have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cienciano 41%.

How many goals will there be in FC Cajamarca vs Cienciano?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Cajamarca vs Cienciano?

Our predicted score is FC Cajamarca 1–1 Cienciano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is FC Cajamarca vs Cienciano?

FC Cajamarca vs Cienciano (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.