Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.15
Alianza Lima vs ADT: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 19 September the Primera División brings Alianza Lima against ADT at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, Alianza Lima are 6th, upper half, on 29 points after 16 matches; ADT are 16th (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Alianza Lima, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Universitario, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
ADT, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to FBC Melgar, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (14 Apr 2026) it ended ADT 0–1 Alianza Lima.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alianza Lima 1.9 xG, ADT 0.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza Lima 70%, draw 20%, ADT 10%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Alianza Lima to win (70%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza Lima 1–0 ADT. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alianza Lima70%fair 1.42 · @1.29
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @5.00
ADT10%fair 10.32 · @10.00
2.47Expected goals
1.92Alianza Lima xG
0.55ADT xG
48%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–016%
3–010%
1–19%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: Alianza Lima 1.9 – 0.5 ADT expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Alianza Lima to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Alianza Lima vs ADT?
On our numbers Alianza Lima have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and ADT 10%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Lima vs ADT?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Lima vs ADT?
Our predicted score is Alianza Lima 1–0 ADT, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Alianza Lima vs ADT?
Alianza Lima vs ADT (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
