Sporting Cristal v Atletico Grau Prediction & Expected Goals (19 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSporting Cristal to win ✓72% · @1.36

Double chanceSporting Cristal or draw ✓90% · @1.08

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.85

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗15% · fair 6.73

Sporting Cristal vs Atletico Grau: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 19 September the Primera División brings Sporting Cristal against Atletico Grau at Estadio Alberto Gallardo. Kick-off: 21:30 WAT. In the table, Sporting Cristal are 2nd, among the top four, on 32 points after 16 matches; Atletico Grau are 11th (lower half) with 21.

Current form

Sporting Cristal, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over UCV Moquegua, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Atletico Grau, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Alianza Atletico, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Apr 2026) it ended Atletico Grau 4–1 Sporting Cristal.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sporting Cristal 2.0 xG, Atletico Grau 0.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 47%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting Cristal 72%, draw 18%, Atletico Grau 10%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Sporting Cristal to win (72%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting Cristal 2–0 Atletico Grau. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sporting Cristal72%fair 1.39 · @1.36

Draw18%fair 5.62 · @4.60

Atletico Grau10%fair 9.55 · @7.50

2.63Expected goals

2.03Sporting Cristal xG

0.60Atletico Grau xG

47%Both score

49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–015%

1–015%

3–010%

2–19%

1–19%

0–07%

From our goals model: Sporting Cristal 2.0 – 0.6 Atletico Grau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Sporting Cristal to win ✓	72%	1.39	1.36
Double chance	Sporting Cristal or draw ✓	90%	1.12	1.08
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	53%	1.89	1.85
Draw no bet	Sporting Cristal (draw no bet) ✓	87%	1.15	–
Asian handicap	Sporting Cristal -1 (Asian handicap) ✓	61%	1.63	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	74%	1.35	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	51%	1.96	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	73%	1.37	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	87%	1.15	–
First team to score	Sporting Cristal to score first	72%	1.40	–
Half-time result	Sporting Cristal ahead at half-time ✓	50%	2.00	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Sporting Cristal / FT Sporting Cristal ✓	46%	2.15	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–0 ✗	15%	6.73	–

Sporting Cristal – last 6

WWLWLW

13 Sep	@ UCV Moquegua	2–1	W
6 Sep	vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas	5–0	W
30 Aug	@ Sport Boys	0–1	L
26 Aug	vs Sport Huancayo	4–1	W
21 Aug	@ Alianza Atletico	1–3	L
16 Aug	vs Sport Huancayo	4–1	W

2.7Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Atletico Grau – last 6

WLWDWW

13 Sep	vs Alianza Atletico	3–1	W
6 Sep	@ Deportivo Garcilaso	2–4	L
1 Sep	vs FBC Melgar	1–0	W
26 Aug	vs Sport Boys	2–2	D
21 Aug	@ FC Cajamarca	3–1	W
14 Aug	vs Comerciantes Unidos	1–0	W

2.0Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	33	20	9	4	+30	69
2	Universitario	33	17	10	6	+20	61
3	FBC Melgar	33	16	9	8	+18	57
4	Deportivo Garcilaso	33	16	7	10	+15	55
5	Sporting Cristal	33	15	6	12	+15	51
6	Cusco	33	16	3	14	-1	51
7	Cienciano	33	15	5	13	+8	50
8	Sport Huancayo	33	15	5	13	-1	50
9	Alianza Atletico	33	14	7	12	+1	49
10	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	33	13	9	11	-12	48
11	Sport Boys	33	12	10	11	+2	46
12	Juan Pablo II College	33	11	8	14	-11	41
13	Comerciantes Unidos	33	8	13	12	-3	37
14	Atletico Grau	33	10	7	16	-9	37
15	ADT	33	7	11	15	-12	32
16	FC Cajamarca	33	8	7	18	-19	31
17	UCV Moquegua	33	7	9	17	-21	30
18	UTC Cajamarca	33	5	9	19	-20	19

Team

Pts

+30

+20

+18

+15

+15

-1

-1

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

-12

Sport Boys

Juan Pablo II College

-11

-3

-9

-12

-19

-21

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal vs Atletico Grau?

Our pick is Sporting Cristal to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Sporting Cristal vs Atletico Grau?

On our numbers Sporting Cristal have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Atletico Grau 10%.

How many goals will there be in Sporting Cristal vs Atletico Grau?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sporting Cristal vs Atletico Grau?

Our predicted score is Sporting Cristal 2–0 Atletico Grau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Sporting Cristal vs Atletico Grau?

Sporting Cristal vs Atletico Grau (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alberto Gallardo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Sporting Cristal v Atletico Grau: numbers & prediction