Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultADT to win ✗64% · @1.73
Double chanceADT or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16
ADT vs FC Cajamarca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: ADT v FC Cajamarca in the Primera División, played at Estadio Union Tarma. In the table, ADT are 16th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 16 matches; FC Cajamarca are 14th (lower half) with 14. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
ADT, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Sporting Cristal, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
FC Cajamarca, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Cusco, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FC Cajamarca, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for ADT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ADT 2.1 xG, FC Cajamarca 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 57% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ADT 64%, draw 23%, FC Cajamarca 13%.
Lower-risk option: ADT or draw (87%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was ADT to win (64%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: ADT 2–0 FC Cajamarca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ADT64%fair 1.56 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.50
FC Cajamarca13%fair 7.99 · @4.50
3.04Expected goals
2.15ADT xG
0.89FC Cajamarca xG
57%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: ADT 2.1 – 0.9 FC Cajamarca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ADT to win✗
64%
1.56
1.73 ▲
Double chance
ADT or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.65
Draw no bet
ADT (draw no bet)
84%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
ADT -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
First team to score
ADT to score first✗
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
ADT ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ADT / FT ADT✗
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.16
–
Recent results
ADT – last 6
LLWLLL
1 Oct
@ Sporting Cristal
0–5
L
27 Sep
vs Sporting Cristal
0–1
L
23 Sep
vs Cienciano
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Alianza Lima
0–2
L
7 Sep
@ FBC Melgar
0–3
L
30 Aug
vs Sport Huancayo
1–3
L
0.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FC Cajamarca – last 6
LWLWLL
19 Sep
vs Cusco
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas
2–1
W
4 Sep
vs Cienciano
2–5
L
28 Aug
@ Comerciantes Unidos
3–2
W
21 Aug
vs Atletico Grau
1–3
L
16 Aug
vs Universitario
2–3
L
1.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ADT and FC Cajamarca.
Our pick is ADT to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win ADT vs FC Cajamarca?
On our numbers ADT have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Cajamarca 13%.
How many goals will there be in ADT vs FC Cajamarca?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ADT vs FC Cajamarca?
Our predicted score is ADT 2–0 FC Cajamarca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is ADT vs FC Cajamarca?
ADT vs FC Cajamarca (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Union Tarma.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
