Comerciantes Unidos v Juan Pablo II College Prediction & Expected Goals (10 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultComerciantes Unidos to win ✗59% · @1.91

Double chanceComerciantes Unidos or draw ✓84% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.73

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06

Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

21:30 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Comerciantes Unidos v Juan Pablo II College in the Primera División, played at Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra. In the table, Comerciantes Unidos are 13th, lower half, on 16 points after 16 matches; Juan Pablo II College are 9th (upper half) with 25.

Current form

Comerciantes Unidos, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Alianza Atletico, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Juan Pablo II College, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over UCV Moquegua, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Juan Pablo II College, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Comerciantes Unidos.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Jun 2026) it ended Comerciantes Unidos 0–0 Juan Pablo II College.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Comerciantes Unidos 2.1 xG, Juan Pablo II College 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Comerciantes Unidos 59%, draw 26%, Juan Pablo II College 16%.
Lower-risk option: Comerciantes Unidos or draw (84%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Comerciantes Unidos to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Comerciantes Unidos or draw (84%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Comerciantes Unidos 2–1 Juan Pablo II College. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Comerciantes Unidos59%fair 1.71 · @1.91

Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.40

Juan Pablo II College16%fair 6.42 · @3.70

3.09Expected goals

2.06Comerciantes Unidos xG

1.03Juan Pablo II College xG

58%Both score

60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%

1–110%

2–010%

1–09%

3–17%

3–07%

From our goals model: Comerciantes Unidos 2.1 – 1.0 Juan Pablo II College expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Comerciantes Unidos to win ✗	59%	1.71	1.91 ▲
Double chance	Comerciantes Unidos or draw ✓	84%	1.18	1.25 ▲
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	58%	1.72	1.73
Draw no bet	Comerciantes Unidos (draw no bet)	79%	1.27	–
Asian handicap	Comerciantes Unidos -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	61%	1.64	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	81%	1.23	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	60%	1.68	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	63%	1.59	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	80%	1.25	–
First team to score	Comerciantes Unidos to score first	64%	1.57	–
Half-time result	Comerciantes Unidos ahead at half-time ✗	45%	2.23	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Comerciantes Unidos / FT Comerciantes Unidos ✗	39%	2.56	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.06	–

Comerciantes Unidos – last 6

LLDLWL

18 Sep	@ Alianza Atletico	1–2	L
12 Sep	vs Sport Huancayo	0–1	L
6 Sep	@ Universitario	2–2	D
28 Aug	vs FC Cajamarca	2–3	L
22 Aug	@ UTC Cajamarca	3–1	W
14 Aug	@ Atletico Grau	0–1	L

1.3Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Juan Pablo II College – last 6

WWDWWL

20 Sep	vs UCV Moquegua	4–0	W
11 Sep	@ UTC Cajamarca	2–1	W
6 Sep	vs Alianza Lima	1–1	D
29 Aug	@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas	4–3	W
22 Aug	vs ADT	5–1	W
15 Aug	@ Cusco	0–2	L

2.7Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	33	20	9	4	+30	69
2	Universitario	33	17	10	6	+20	61
3	FBC Melgar	33	16	9	8	+18	57
4	Deportivo Garcilaso	33	16	7	10	+15	55
5	Sporting Cristal	33	15	6	12	+15	51
6	Cusco	33	16	3	14	-1	51
7	Cienciano	33	15	5	13	+8	50
8	Sport Huancayo	33	15	5	13	-1	50
9	Alianza Atletico	33	14	7	12	+1	49
10	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	33	13	9	11	-12	48
11	Sport Boys	33	12	10	11	+2	46
12	Juan Pablo II College	33	11	8	14	-11	41
13	Comerciantes Unidos	33	8	13	12	-3	37
14	Atletico Grau	33	10	7	16	-9	37
15	ADT	33	7	11	15	-12	32
16	FC Cajamarca	33	8	7	18	-19	31
17	UCV Moquegua	33	7	9	17	-21	30
18	UTC Cajamarca	33	5	9	19	-20	19

Team

Pts

+30

+20

+18

+15

+15

-1

-1

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

-12

Sport Boys

Juan Pablo II College

-11

-3

-9

-12

-19

-21

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College?

Our pick is Comerciantes Unidos or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College?

On our numbers Comerciantes Unidos have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Juan Pablo II College 16%.

How many goals will there be in Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College?

Our predicted score is Comerciantes Unidos 2–1 Juan Pablo II College, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College?

Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Comerciantes Unidos v Juan Pablo II College: numbers & prediction