Value bet: Sport Boys to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSport Boys to win ✗55% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.81
Sport Boys vs Alianza Atletico: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alianza Atletico travel to face Sport Boys on Sunday 11 October in the Primera División, with Estadio Miguel Grau the venue – the ball rolls at 21:30 WAT. In the table, Sport Boys are 8th, upper half, on 26 points after 16 matches; Alianza Atletico are 7th (upper half) with 28. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sport Boys, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Alianza Atletico, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Alianza Atletico, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Sport Boys, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Oct 2026) it ended Alianza Atletico 3–0 Sport Boys. The last 2 head-to-heads: Sport Boys 1 win, Alianza Atletico 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sport Boys 1.5 xG, Alianza Atletico 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sport Boys 55%, draw 22%, Alianza Atletico 24%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Sport Boys to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sport Boys 1–1 Alianza Atletico. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sport Boys55%fair 1.83 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.25
Alianza Atletico24%fair 4.22 · @3.75
2.41Expected goals
1.53Sport Boys xG
0.88Alianza Atletico xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Sport Boys 1.5 – 0.9 Alianza Atletico expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sport Boys vs Alianza Atletico?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Sport Boys vs Alianza Atletico?
On our numbers Sport Boys have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Alianza Atletico 24%.
How many goals will there be in Sport Boys vs Alianza Atletico?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sport Boys vs Alianza Atletico?
Our predicted score is Sport Boys 1–1 Alianza Atletico, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sport Boys vs Alianza Atletico?
Sport Boys vs Alianza Atletico (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Miguel Grau.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
