UTC Cajamarca 21%Draw 19%FBC Melgar 60%Expected goals 1.00 – 1.90
61%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultFBC Melgar to win ✓60% · @1.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.07
UTC Cajamarca vs FBC Melgar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FBC Melgar travel to face UTC Cajamarca on Friday 23 October in the Primera División, with Estadio Heroes de San Ramon the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, UTC Cajamarca are 18th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 16 matches; FBC Melgar are 5th (upper half) with 29. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
UTC Cajamarca, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cienciano, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
FBC Melgar, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Deportivo Garcilaso, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FBC Melgar, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.2 for UTC Cajamarca.
Head to head
When they last met (4 May 2026) it ended FBC Melgar 2–0 UTC Cajamarca.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give UTC Cajamarca 1.0 xG, FBC Melgar 1.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – UTC Cajamarca 21%, draw 19%, FBC Melgar 60%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.65, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: UTC Cajamarca 1–1 FBC Melgar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
UTC Cajamarca21%fair 4.80 · @5.00
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @3.90
FBC Melgar60%fair 1.67 · @1.55
2.90Expected goals
1.00UTC Cajamarca xG
1.90FBC Melgar xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–110%
1–110%
0–210%
1–210%
0–36%
1–36%
From our goals model: UTC Cajamarca 1.0 – 1.9 FBC Melgar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for UTC Cajamarca vs FBC Melgar?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win UTC Cajamarca vs FBC Melgar?
On our numbers UTC Cajamarca have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 19% and FBC Melgar 60%.
How many goals will there be in UTC Cajamarca vs FBC Melgar?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UTC Cajamarca vs FBC Melgar?
Our predicted score is UTC Cajamarca 1–1 FBC Melgar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is UTC Cajamarca vs FBC Melgar?
UTC Cajamarca vs FBC Melgar (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
