Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultAtletico Grau to win ✗64% · @1.65
Double chanceAtletico Grau or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.22
Atletico Grau vs ADT: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 23 October the Primera División brings Atletico Grau against ADT at Ambrosio Maco Arroyo. Kick-off: 21:15 WAT. In the table, Atletico Grau are 11th, lower half, on 21 points after 16 matches; ADT are 16th (in the drop zone) with 12.
Current form
Atletico Grau, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Alianza Lima, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
ADT, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Club Deportivo Los Chankas, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Atletico Grau, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for ADT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Grau 1.7 xG, ADT 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Grau 64%, draw 21%, ADT 15%.
Lower-risk option: Atletico Grau or draw (85%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Atletico Grau to win (64%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Grau 1–0 ADT. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Grau64%fair 1.56 · @1.65
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.50
ADT15%fair 6.50 · @5.00
2.33Expected goals
1.68Atletico Grau xG
0.65ADT xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Atletico Grau 1.7 – 0.6 ADT expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Grau to win✗
64%
1.56
1.65 ▲
Double chance
Atletico Grau or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.80
Draw no bet
Atletico Grau (draw no bet)
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Atletico Grau -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Atletico Grau to score first✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Grau / FT Atletico Grau✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.22
–
Recent results
Atletico Grau – last 6
LDLWLW
18 Oct
@ Alianza Lima
1–3
L
8 Oct
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0–0
D
19 Sep
@ Sporting Cristal
1–3
L
13 Sep
vs Alianza Atletico
3–1
W
6 Sep
@ Deportivo Garcilaso
2–4
L
1 Sep
vs FBC Melgar
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
ADT – last 6
LDLLWL
16 Oct
@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1–2
L
10 Oct
vs FC Cajamarca
0–0
D
1 Oct
@ Sporting Cristal
0–5
L
27 Sep
vs Sporting Cristal
0–1
L
23 Sep
vs Cienciano
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Alianza Lima
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Grau and ADT.
Our pick is Atletico Grau to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Atletico Grau vs ADT?
On our numbers Atletico Grau have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and ADT 15%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Grau vs ADT?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Grau vs ADT?
Our predicted score is Atletico Grau 1–0 ADT, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Atletico Grau vs ADT?
Atletico Grau vs ADT (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time) at Ambrosio Maco Arroyo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
