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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Comerciantes Unidos v Cienciano: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Peru · Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra
3–1
FT
Comerciantes Unidos 29%Draw 23%Cienciano 48% Expected goals 1.25 – 1.68
61%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2

Value bet: Cienciano to win @ 2.20 – our chance 48% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCienciano to win ✗48% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.60

Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Comerciantes Unidos welcome Cienciano to Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra for a Primera División fixture on Sunday 25 October (17:00 WAT). In the table, Comerciantes Unidos are 13th, lower half, on 16 points after 16 matches; Cienciano are 12th (lower half) with 17. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Comerciantes Unidos, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Sporting Cristal, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Cienciano, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over UTC Cajamarca, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Cienciano, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.3 for Comerciantes Unidos.

Head to head

When they last met (2 May 2026) it ended Cienciano 1–0 Comerciantes Unidos.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Comerciantes Unidos 1.2 xG, Cienciano 1.7 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Comerciantes Unidos 29%, draw 23%, Cienciano 48%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.
  • Price worth noting: Cienciano to win @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 48%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Comerciantes Unidos 1–1 Cienciano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Comerciantes Unidos29%fair 3.44 · @3.00
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.25
Cienciano48%fair 2.07 · @2.20
2.93Expected goals
1.25Comerciantes Unidos xG
1.68Cienciano xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–07%

From our goals model: Comerciantes Unidos 1.2 – 1.7 Cienciano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCienciano to win ✗48%2.072.20 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.631.62
Draw no betCienciano (draw no bet) ✗62%1.60–
Asian handicapComerciantes Unidos +1 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.78–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
First team to scoreCienciano to score first ✗54%1.84–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.50–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cienciano / FT Cienciano ✗29%3.46–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.60–

Recent results

Comerciantes Unidos – last 6

LDLLDL
17 Oct@ Sporting Cristal2–4L
10 Octvs Juan Pablo II College1–1D
18 Sep@ Alianza Atletico1–2L
12 Sepvs Sport Huancayo0–1L
6 Sep@ Universitario2–2D
28 Augvs FC Cajamarca2–3L
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Cienciano – last 6

WWDLLW
19 Octvs UTC Cajamarca1–0W
8 Oct@ UCV Moquegua2–0W
30 Sepvs Club Deportivo Los Chankas1–1D
23 Sep@ ADT1–2L
18 Sep@ Atletico Torque0–3L
11 Sepvs Atletico Torque2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 May 2026Cienciano v Comerciantes Unidos1–0
Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alianza Lima332094+3069
2Universitario3317106+2061
3FBC Melgar331698+1857
4Deportivo Garcilaso3316710+1555
5Sporting Cristal3315612+1551
6Cusco3316314-151
7Cienciano3315513+850
8Sport Huancayo3315513-150
9Alianza Atletico3314712+149
10Club Deportivo Los Chankas3313911-1248
11Sport Boys33121011+246
12Juan Pablo II College3311814-1141
13Comerciantes Unidos3381312-337
14Atletico Grau3310716-937
15ADT3371115-1232
16FC Cajamarca338718-1931
17UCV Moquegua337917-2130
18UTC Cajamarca335919-2019

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano?

On our numbers Comerciantes Unidos have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cienciano 48%.

How many goals will there be in Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano?

Our predicted score is Comerciantes Unidos 1–1 Cienciano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano?

Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.