Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultADT to win ✓61% · @1.62
Double chanceADT or draw ✓82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.76
ADT vs UCV Moquegua: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
ADT welcome UCV Moquegua for a Primera División fixture on Wednesday 28 October (17:00 WAT). In the table, ADT are 16th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 16 matches; UCV Moquegua are 17th (in the drop zone) with 12. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
ADT, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Atletico Grau, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
UCV Moquegua, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Alianza Lima, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Aug 2026) it ended ADT 2–0 UCV Moquegua.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ADT 1.7 xG, UCV Moquegua 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ADT 61%, draw 22%, UCV Moquegua 18%.
Lower-risk option: ADT or draw (82%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was ADT to win (61%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: ADT 1–0 UCV Moquegua. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ADT61%fair 1.65 · @1.62
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.60
UCV Moquegua18%fair 5.69 · @5.00
2.42Expected goals
1.67ADT xG
0.75UCV Moquegua xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: ADT 1.7 – 0.7 UCV Moquegua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is ADT to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win ADT vs UCV Moquegua?
On our numbers ADT have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and UCV Moquegua 18%.
How many goals will there be in ADT vs UCV Moquegua?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ADT vs UCV Moquegua?
Our predicted score is ADT 1–0 UCV Moquegua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is ADT vs UCV Moquegua?
ADT vs UCV Moquegua (Primera División) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
