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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Atletico Grau v Universitario: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Peru · Ambrosio Maco Arroyo
1–3
FT
Atletico Grau 11%Draw 23%Universitario 66% Expected goals 0.63 – 1.86
66%
Betarazi pick

Universitario to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultUniversitario to win ✓66% · @1.53
Double chanceUniversitario or draw ✓89% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.07

Atletico Grau vs Universitario: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 1 November the Primera División brings Atletico Grau against Universitario at Ambrosio Maco Arroyo. Kick-off: 21:30 WAT. In the table, Atletico Grau are 11th, lower half, on 21 points after 16 matches; Universitario are 3rd (among the top four) with 32.

Current form

Atletico Grau, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Cienciano, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Universitario, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Juan Pablo II College, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Momentum favours Universitario, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Atletico Grau.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Jun 2026) it ended Universitario 1–1 Atletico Grau. The last 2 head-to-heads: Atletico Grau 1 win, Universitario 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Grau 0.6 xG, Universitario 1.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Grau 11%, draw 23%, Universitario 66%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Universitario to win (66%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Grau 0–1 Universitario. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atletico Grau11%fair 9.11 · @5.80
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.80
Universitario66%fair 1.51 · @1.53
2.49Expected goals
0.63Atletico Grau xG
1.86Universitario xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%
0–214%
1–110%
1–29%
0–39%
0–08%

From our goals model: Atletico Grau 0.6 – 1.9 Universitario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUniversitario to win ✓66%1.511.53
Double chanceUniversitario or draw ✓89%1.121.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.912.00
Draw no betUniversitario (draw no bet) ✓86%1.17–
Asian handicapUniversitario -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.83–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreUniversitario to score first69%1.46–
Half-time resultUniversitario ahead at half-time ✗47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Universitario / FT Universitario ✗43%2.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.07–

Recent results

Atletico Grau – last 6

LDLDLW
29 Oct@ Cienciano0–3L
23 Octvs ADT1–1D
18 Oct@ Alianza Lima1–3L
8 Octvs Club Deportivo Los Chankas0–0D
19 Sep@ Sporting Cristal1–3L
13 Sepvs Alianza Atletico3–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Universitario – last 6

WWDLWD
25 Octvs Juan Pablo II College3–0W
18 Oct@ Alianza Atletico4–1W
11 Octvs FBC Melgar2–2D
20 Sep@ Deportivo Garcilaso0–4L
13 Sep@ Alianza Lima2–1W
6 Sepvs Comerciantes Unidos2–2D
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Jun 2026Universitario v Atletico Grau1–1
16 May 2026Universitario v Atletico Grau0–1
Atletico Grau vs Universitario head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alianza Lima332094+3069
2Universitario3317106+2061
3FBC Melgar331698+1857
4Deportivo Garcilaso3316710+1555
5Sporting Cristal3315612+1551
6Cusco3316314-151
7Cienciano3315513+850
8Sport Huancayo3315513-150
9Alianza Atletico3314712+149
10Club Deportivo Los Chankas3313911-1248
11Sport Boys33121011+246
12Juan Pablo II College3311814-1141
13Comerciantes Unidos3381312-337
14Atletico Grau3310716-937
15ADT3371115-1232
16FC Cajamarca338718-1931
17UCV Moquegua337917-2130
18UTC Cajamarca335919-2019

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atletico Grau vs Universitario?

Our pick is Universitario to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Atletico Grau vs Universitario?

On our numbers Atletico Grau have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Universitario 66%.

How many goals will there be in Atletico Grau vs Universitario?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atletico Grau vs Universitario?

Our predicted score is Atletico Grau 0–1 Universitario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Atletico Grau vs Universitario?

Atletico Grau vs Universitario (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Ambrosio Maco Arroyo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.