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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

UCV Moquegua v Club Deportivo Los Chankas: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Peru · Estadio 25 de Noviembre
UCV Moquegua 60%Draw 23%Club Deportivo Los Chankas 17% Expected goals 1.77 – 0.83
83%
Betarazi pick

UCV Moquegua or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: UCV Moquegua to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultUCV Moquegua to win ✗60% · @1.95
Double chanceUCV Moquegua or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.36

UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:00 WAT, Sunday 1 November: UCV Moquegua v Club Deportivo Los Chankas in the Primera División, played at Estadio 25 de Noviembre. In the table, UCV Moquegua are 17th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 16 matches; Club Deportivo Los Chankas are 15th (lower half) with 14. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

UCV Moquegua, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to ADT, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Club Deportivo Los Chankas, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cusco, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1–0 UCV Moquegua.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give UCV Moquegua 1.8 xG, Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – UCV Moquegua 60%, draw 23%, Club Deportivo Los Chankas 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: UCV Moquegua or draw (83%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.
  • Price worth noting: UCV Moquegua to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was UCV Moquegua or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: UCV Moquegua 1–0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

UCV Moquegua60%fair 1.67 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.30
Club Deportivo Los Chankas17%fair 5.82 · @3.50
2.60Expected goals
1.77UCV Moquegua xG
0.83Club Deportivo Los Chankas xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%

From our goals model: UCV Moquegua 1.8 – 0.8 Club Deportivo Los Chankas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUCV Moquegua to win ✗60%1.671.95 ▲
Double chanceUCV Moquegua or draw ✓83%1.211.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.691.62
Draw no betUCV Moquegua (draw no bet)78%1.29–
Asian handicapClub Deportivo Los Chankas +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.93–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreUCV Moquegua to score first ✗63%1.58–
Half-time resultUCV Moquegua ahead at half-time ✗43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT UCV Moquegua / FT UCV Moquegua ✗37%2.68–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.36–

Recent results

UCV Moquegua – last 6

LLWLLL
28 Oct@ ADT0–2L
25 Octvs Alianza Lima0–1L
18 Oct@ FC Cajamarca1–0W
8 Octvs Cienciano0–2L
20 Sep@ Juan Pablo II College0–4L
13 Sepvs Sporting Cristal1–2L
0.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Club Deportivo Los Chankas – last 6

LLWDDL
29 Octvs Cusco0–1L
26 Oct@ Deportivo Garcilaso1–4L
16 Octvs ADT2–1W
8 Oct@ Atletico Grau0–0D
30 Sep@ Cienciano1–1D
12 Sepvs FC Cajamarca1–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Club Deportivo Los Chankas v UCV Moquegua1–0
UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alianza Lima332094+3069
2Universitario3317106+2061
3FBC Melgar331698+1857
4Deportivo Garcilaso3316710+1555
5Sporting Cristal3315612+1551
6Cusco3316314-151
7Cienciano3315513+850
8Sport Huancayo3315513-150
9Alianza Atletico3314712+149
10Club Deportivo Los Chankas3313911-1248
11Sport Boys33121011+246
12Juan Pablo II College3311814-1141
13Comerciantes Unidos3381312-337
14Atletico Grau3310716-937
15ADT3371115-1232
16FC Cajamarca338718-1931
17UCV Moquegua337917-2130
18UTC Cajamarca335919-2019

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?

Our pick is UCV Moquegua or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?

On our numbers UCV Moquegua have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Club Deportivo Los Chankas 17%.

How many goals will there be in UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?

Our predicted score is UCV Moquegua 1–0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?

UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 25 de Noviembre.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.