Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: UCV Moquegua to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUCV Moquegua to win ✗60% · @1.95
Double chanceUCV Moquegua or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.36
UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Sunday 1 November: UCV Moquegua v Club Deportivo Los Chankas in the Primera División, played at Estadio 25 de Noviembre. In the table, UCV Moquegua are 17th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 16 matches; Club Deportivo Los Chankas are 15th (lower half) with 14. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
UCV Moquegua, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to ADT, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Club Deportivo Los Chankas, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cusco, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1–0 UCV Moquegua.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give UCV Moquegua 1.8 xG, Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – UCV Moquegua 60%, draw 23%, Club Deportivo Los Chankas 17%.
Lower-risk option: UCV Moquegua or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: UCV Moquegua to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was UCV Moquegua or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: UCV Moquegua 1–0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
UCV Moquegua60%fair 1.67 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.30
Club Deportivo Los Chankas17%fair 5.82 · @3.50
2.60Expected goals
1.77UCV Moquegua xG
0.83Club Deportivo Los Chankas xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: UCV Moquegua 1.8 – 0.8 Club Deportivo Los Chankas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
Our pick is UCV Moquegua or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
On our numbers UCV Moquegua have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Club Deportivo Los Chankas 17%.
How many goals will there be in UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
Our predicted score is UCV Moquegua 1–0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 25 de Noviembre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.