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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sport Huancayo v FBC Melgar: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Peru · Estadio Huancayo
2–0
FT
Sport Huancayo 42%Draw 20%FBC Melgar 38% Expected goals 1.49 – 1.43
64%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.60Odds
2

Value bet: FBC Melgar to win @ 3.00 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSport Huancayo to win ✓42% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.65

Sport Huancayo vs FBC Melgar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 2 November the Primera División brings Sport Huancayo against FBC Melgar at Estadio Huancayo. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Sport Huancayo are 1st, leading the league, on 34 points after 16 matches; FBC Melgar are 5th (upper half) with 29.

Current form

Sport Huancayo, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Juan Pablo II College, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

FBC Melgar, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Comerciantes Unidos, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Sport Huancayo, collecting 2.5 points per game to 2.0 for FBC Melgar.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sport Huancayo 1.5 xG, FBC Melgar 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sport Huancayo 42%, draw 20%, FBC Melgar 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.60.
  • Price worth noting: FBC Melgar to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sport Huancayo 1–1 FBC Melgar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sport Huancayo42%fair 2.41 · @2.05
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @3.70
FBC Melgar38%fair 2.60 · @3.00
2.92Expected goals
1.49Sport Huancayo xG
1.43FBC Melgar xG
64%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%

From our goals model: Sport Huancayo 1.5 – 1.4 FBC Melgar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSport Huancayo to win ✓42%2.412.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗64%1.561.60
Draw no betSport Huancayo (draw no bet) ✓52%1.93–
Asian handicapFBC Melgar +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.79–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
First team to scoreSport Huancayo to score first ✓48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.48–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sport Huancayo / FT Sport Huancayo ✗23%4.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.65–

Recent results

Sport Huancayo – last 6

LWWWWW
27 Oct@ Juan Pablo II College0–2L
24 Octvs Alianza Atletico4–1W
16 Octvs Cusco2–1W
10 Oct@ Deportivo Garcilaso1–0W
20 Sepvs UTC Cajamarca3–2W
12 Sep@ Comerciantes Unidos1–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

FBC Melgar – last 6

DWWDDW
30 Octvs Comerciantes Unidos1–1D
23 Oct@ UTC Cajamarca2–1W
18 Octvs Deportivo Garcilaso4–2W
11 Oct@ Universitario2–2D
20 Sepvs Sport Boys1–1D
12 Sep@ Cusco1–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sport Huancayo and FBC Melgar.

Sport Huancayo vs FBC Melgar head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alianza Lima332094+3069
2Universitario3317106+2061
3FBC Melgar331698+1857
4Deportivo Garcilaso3316710+1555
5Sporting Cristal3315612+1551
6Cusco3316314-151
7Cienciano3315513+850
8Sport Huancayo3315513-150
9Alianza Atletico3314712+149
10Club Deportivo Los Chankas3313911-1248
11Sport Boys33121011+246
12Juan Pablo II College3311814-1141
13Comerciantes Unidos3381312-337
14Atletico Grau3310716-937
15ADT3371115-1232
16FC Cajamarca338718-1931
17UCV Moquegua337917-2130
18UTC Cajamarca335919-2019

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sport Huancayo vs FBC Melgar?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Sport Huancayo vs FBC Melgar?

On our numbers Sport Huancayo have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FBC Melgar 38%.

How many goals will there be in Sport Huancayo vs FBC Melgar?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sport Huancayo vs FBC Melgar?

Our predicted score is Sport Huancayo 1–1 FBC Melgar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Sport Huancayo vs FBC Melgar?

Sport Huancayo vs FBC Melgar (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 2 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Huancayo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.