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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sporting Cristal v FC Cajamarca: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Peru · Estadio Alberto Gallardo
5–0
FT
Sporting Cristal 69%Draw 20%FC Cajamarca 11% Expected goals 2.43 – 0.92
69%
Betarazi pick

Sporting Cristal to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultSporting Cristal to win ✓69% · @1.25
Double chanceSporting Cristal or draw ✓89% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.49

Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sporting Cristal welcome FC Cajamarca to Estadio Alberto Gallardo for a Primera División fixture on Monday 2 November (21:30 WAT). In the table, Sporting Cristal are 2nd, among the top four, on 32 points after 16 matches; FC Cajamarca are 14th (lower half) with 14. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Sporting Cristal, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Alianza Lima, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

FC Cajamarca, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to UTC Cajamarca, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Sporting Cristal, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.7 for FC Cajamarca.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sporting Cristal 2.4 xG, FC Cajamarca 0.9 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting Cristal 69%, draw 20%, FC Cajamarca 11%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Sporting Cristal to win (69%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting Cristal 2–0 FC Cajamarca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sporting Cristal69%fair 1.45 · @1.25
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @5.50
FC Cajamarca11%fair 9.29 · @10.00
3.35Expected goals
2.43Sporting Cristal xG
0.92FC Cajamarca xG
60%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
3–08%
1–18%
3–18%

From our goals model: Sporting Cristal 2.4 – 0.9 FC Cajamarca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSporting Cristal to win ✓69%1.451.25
Double chanceSporting Cristal or draw ✓89%1.121.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.671.67
Draw no betSporting Cristal (draw no bet) ✓87%1.16–
Asian handicapSporting Cristal -1 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗57%1.76–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗75%1.33–
First team to scoreSporting Cristal to score first ✓70%1.43–
Half-time resultSporting Cristal ahead at half-time ✗52%1.92–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sporting Cristal / FT Sporting Cristal ✗47%2.11–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.49–

Recent results

Sporting Cristal – last 6

WLWWWW
29 Octvs Alianza Lima3–2W
24 Oct@ Cusco1–3L
17 Octvs Comerciantes Unidos4–2W
1 Octvs ADT5–0W
27 Sep@ ADT1–0W
19 Sepvs Atletico Grau3–1W
2.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

FC Cajamarca – last 6

LLLDLW
28 Octvs UTC Cajamarca1–3L
25 Oct@ Sport Boys2–4L
18 Octvs UCV Moquegua0–1L
10 Oct@ ADT0–0D
19 Sepvs Cusco1–2L
12 Sep@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas2–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sporting Cristal and FC Cajamarca.

Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alianza Lima332094+3069
2Universitario3317106+2061
3FBC Melgar331698+1857
4Deportivo Garcilaso3316710+1555
5Sporting Cristal3315612+1551
6Cusco3316314-151
7Cienciano3315513+850
8Sport Huancayo3315513-150
9Alianza Atletico3314712+149
10Club Deportivo Los Chankas3313911-1248
11Sport Boys33121011+246
12Juan Pablo II College3311814-1141
13Comerciantes Unidos3381312-337
14Atletico Grau3310716-937
15ADT3371115-1232
16FC Cajamarca338718-1931
17UCV Moquegua337917-2130
18UTC Cajamarca335919-2019

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca?

Our pick is Sporting Cristal to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca?

On our numbers Sporting Cristal have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC Cajamarca 11%.

How many goals will there be in Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca?

Our predicted score is Sporting Cristal 2–0 FC Cajamarca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca?

Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 2 November 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alberto Gallardo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.