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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

ADT v Sporting Cristal: numbers & prediction

ADT

DWDLD
1–1
FT
ADT 35%Draw 22%Sporting Cristal 44% Expected goals 1.35 – 1.55
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Sporting Cristal to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSporting Cristal to win ✗44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.21

ADT vs Sporting Cristal: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sporting Cristal travel to face ADT on Saturday 7 November in the Primera División – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, ADT are 16th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 16 matches; Sporting Cristal are 2nd (among the top four) with 32. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

ADT, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Comerciantes Unidos, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Sporting Cristal, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over FC Cajamarca, at home. 3.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Sporting Cristal, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for ADT.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Oct 2026) it ended Sporting Cristal 5–0 ADT. The last 3 head-to-heads: ADT 0 wins, Sporting Cristal 3, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give ADT 1.4 xG, Sporting Cristal 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – ADT 35%, draw 22%, Sporting Cristal 44%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
  • Price worth noting: Sporting Cristal to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 44%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: ADT 1–1 Sporting Cristal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

ADT35%fair 2.88 · @2.60
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.40
Sporting Cristal44%fair 2.29 · @2.50
2.91Expected goals
1.35ADT xG
1.55Sporting Cristal xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%

From our goals model: ADT 1.4 – 1.6 Sporting Cristal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSporting Cristal to win ✗44%2.292.50 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.281.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.671.62
Draw no betSporting Cristal (draw no bet)56%1.80–
Asian handicapADT +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.291.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.831.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.501.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.211.14
First team to scoreSporting Cristal to score first ✓51%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.48–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sporting Cristal / FT Sporting Cristal ✗25%3.99–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.21–

Recent results

ADT – last 6

DWDLDL
3 Nov@ Comerciantes Unidos2–2D
28 Octvs UCV Moquegua2–0W
23 Oct@ Atletico Grau1–1D
16 Oct@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas1–2L
10 Octvs FC Cajamarca0–0D
1 Oct@ Sporting Cristal0–5L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sporting Cristal – last 6

WWLWWW
2 Novvs FC Cajamarca5–0W
29 Octvs Alianza Lima3–2W
24 Oct@ Cusco1–3L
17 Octvs Comerciantes Unidos4–2W
1 Octvs ADT5–0W
27 Sep@ ADT1–0W
3.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Oct 2026Sporting Cristal v ADT5–0
27 Sep 2026ADT v Sporting Cristal0–1
24 May 2026Sporting Cristal v ADT2–1
ADT vs Sporting Cristal head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alianza Lima332094+3069
2Universitario3317106+2061
3FBC Melgar331698+1857
4Deportivo Garcilaso3316710+1555
5Sporting Cristal3315612+1551
6Cusco3316314-151
7Cienciano3315513+850
8Sport Huancayo3315513-150
9Alianza Atletico3314712+149
10Club Deportivo Los Chankas3313911-1248
11Sport Boys33121011+246
12Juan Pablo II College3311814-1141
13Comerciantes Unidos3381312-337
14Atletico Grau3310716-937
15ADT3371115-1232
16FC Cajamarca338718-1931
17UCV Moquegua337917-2130
18UTC Cajamarca335919-2019

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for ADT vs Sporting Cristal?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win ADT vs Sporting Cristal?

On our numbers ADT have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sporting Cristal 44%.

How many goals will there be in ADT vs Sporting Cristal?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for ADT vs Sporting Cristal?

Our predicted score is ADT 1–1 Sporting Cristal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is ADT vs Sporting Cristal?

ADT vs Sporting Cristal (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.