Value bet: Alianza Atletico to win @ 2.78 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAlianza Atletico to win ✗41% · @2.78
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.58
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.54
FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:30 WAT, Saturday 7 November: FC Cajamarca v Alianza Atletico in the Primera División, played at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon. In the table, FC Cajamarca are 14th, lower half, on 14 points after 16 matches; Alianza Atletico are 7th (upper half) with 28. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
FC Cajamarca, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Sporting Cristal, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Alianza Atletico, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Juan Pablo II College, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Alianza Atletico, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.2 for FC Cajamarca.
Head to head
When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Alianza Atletico 1–1 FC Cajamarca.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Cajamarca 1.5 xG, Alianza Atletico 1.6 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Cajamarca 37%, draw 22%, Alianza Atletico 41%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.58.
Price worth noting: Alianza Atletico to win @2.78 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Cajamarca 1–1 Alianza Atletico. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Cajamarca37%fair 2.71 · @2.34
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.34
Alianza Atletico41%fair 2.42 · @2.78
3.01Expected goals
1.46FC Cajamarca xG
1.56Alianza Atletico xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: FC Cajamarca 1.5 – 1.6 Alianza Atletico expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico?
On our numbers FC Cajamarca have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Alianza Atletico 41%.
How many goals will there be in FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico?
Our predicted score is FC Cajamarca 1–1 Alianza Atletico, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico?
FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
