Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Garcilaso to win ✗66% · @1.53
Double chanceDeportivo Garcilaso or draw ✓86% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.44
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Comerciantes Unidos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Comerciantes Unidos travel to face Deportivo Garcilaso on Monday 9 November in the Primera División, with Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Garcilaso are 4th, among the top four, on 29 points after 16 matches; Comerciantes Unidos are 13th (lower half) with 16. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Deportivo Garcilaso, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over UTC Cajamarca, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Comerciantes Unidos, last 5: DDWLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with ADT, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Deportivo Garcilaso, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Comerciantes Unidos.
Head to head
When they last met (25 May 2026) it ended Comerciantes Unidos 0–0 Deportivo Garcilaso.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Garcilaso 1.9 xG, Comerciantes Unidos 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Garcilaso 66%, draw 20%, Comerciantes Unidos 14%.
Lower-risk option: Deportivo Garcilaso or draw (86%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Garcilaso 2–0 Comerciantes Unidos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Garcilaso66%fair 1.52 · @1.53
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @3.90
Comerciantes Unidos14%fair 6.96 · @5.75
2.68Expected goals
1.92Deportivo Garcilaso xG
0.75Comerciantes Unidos xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Deportivo Garcilaso 1.9 – 0.8 Comerciantes Unidos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Deportivo Garcilaso vs Comerciantes Unidos?
On our numbers Deportivo Garcilaso have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Comerciantes Unidos 14%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Garcilaso vs Comerciantes Unidos?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Garcilaso 2–0 Comerciantes Unidos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Garcilaso vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Comerciantes Unidos (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
