Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUniversitario to win ✗67% · @1.25
Double chanceUniversitario or draw ✓87% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.39
Universitario vs UCV Moquegua: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
UCV Moquegua travel to face Universitario on Monday 9 November in the Primera División, with Estadio Monumental the venue – the ball rolls at 02:30 WAT. In the table, Universitario are 3rd, among the top four, on 32 points after 16 matches; UCV Moquegua are 17th (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Universitario, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Sport Boys, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
UCV Moquegua, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Club Deportivo Los Chankas, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Momentum favours Universitario, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for UCV Moquegua.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Universitario 2.0 xG, UCV Moquegua 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Universitario 67%, draw 19%, UCV Moquegua 13%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Universitario 2–0 UCV Moquegua. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Universitario67%fair 1.48 · @1.25
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @5.50
UCV Moquegua13%fair 7.45 · @12.00
2.79Expected goals
2.03Universitario xG
0.76UCV Moquegua xG
52%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Universitario 2.0 – 0.8 UCV Moquegua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universitario to win✗
67%
1.48
1.25
Double chance
Universitario or draw✓
87%
1.16
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Universitario (draw no bet)
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Universitario -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
1.20
First team to score
Universitario to score first
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Universitario ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universitario / FT Universitario✗
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.39
–
Recent results
Universitario – last 6
DWWWDL
5 Nov
vs Sport Boys
2–2
D
1 Nov
@ Atletico Grau
3–1
W
25 Oct
vs Juan Pablo II College
3–0
W
18 Oct
@ Alianza Atletico
4–1
W
11 Oct
vs FBC Melgar
2–2
D
20 Sep
@ Deportivo Garcilaso
0–4
L
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
UCV Moquegua – last 6
DLLWLL
1 Nov
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0–0
D
28 Oct
@ ADT
0–2
L
25 Oct
vs Alianza Lima
0–1
L
18 Oct
@ FC Cajamarca
1–0
W
8 Oct
vs Cienciano
0–2
L
20 Sep
@ Juan Pablo II College
0–4
L
0.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Universitario and UCV Moquegua.
What is the prediction for Universitario vs UCV Moquegua?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Universitario vs UCV Moquegua?
On our numbers Universitario have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and UCV Moquegua 13%.
How many goals will there be in Universitario vs UCV Moquegua?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Universitario vs UCV Moquegua?
Our predicted score is Universitario 2–0 UCV Moquegua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Universitario vs UCV Moquegua?
Universitario vs UCV Moquegua (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
