Popayan vs Union Magdalena: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Union Magdalena travel to face Popayan on Wednesday 7 October in the Primera B – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT. In the table, Popayan are 2nd, among the top four, on 7 points after 4 matches; Union Magdalena are 3rd (among the top four) with 4. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Popayan, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Real Cartagena, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Union Magdalena, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Real Santander, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Popayan, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Union Magdalena.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Popayan 1.1 xG, Union Magdalena 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Popayan 32%, draw 24%, Union Magdalena 44%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.89, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Popayan 1–1 Union Magdalena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Popayan32%fair 3.14 · @3.30
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @2.90
Union Magdalena44%fair 2.27 · @2.05
2.48Expected goals
1.11Popayan xG
1.37Union Magdalena xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Popayan 1.1 – 1.4 Union Magdalena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Magdalena to win✗
44%
2.27
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.95
Draw no bet
Union Magdalena (draw no bet)
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Popayan +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Union Magdalena to score first
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Magdalena / FT Union Magdalena✗
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.47
–
Recent results
Popayan – last 6
WWWWDL
4 Oct
@ Real Cartagena
3–2
W
26 Sep
vs Patriotas
4–1
W
19 Sep
@ Leones FC
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Real Santander
2–0
W
6 Sep
vs Envigado
2–2
D
1 Sep
@ Barranquilla
1–2
L
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Union Magdalena – last 6
WDDWLL
3 Oct
@ Real Santander
3–1
W
30 Sep
vs Real Cartagena
1–1
D
26 Sep
vs Santa Fe
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Patriotas
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ Real Cundinamarca
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Barranquilla
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Popayan and Union Magdalena.
What is the prediction for Popayan vs Union Magdalena?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Popayan vs Union Magdalena?
On our numbers Popayan have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Union Magdalena 44%.
How many goals will there be in Popayan vs Union Magdalena?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Popayan vs Union Magdalena?
Our predicted score is Popayan 1–1 Union Magdalena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Popayan vs Union Magdalena?
Popayan vs Union Magdalena (Primera B) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
