Value bet: Barranquilla to win @ 3.30 – our chance 37% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLeones FC to win ✗40% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.47
Leones FC vs Barranquilla: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Leones FC welcome Barranquilla to Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui for a Primera B fixture on Wednesday 7 October (22:00 WAT). In the table, Leones FC are 16th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 15 matches; Barranquilla are 15th (in the drop zone) with 14. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Leones FC, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Internacional Palmira, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Barranquilla, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Millonarios, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Barranquilla, collecting 0.7 points per game to 0.2 for Leones FC.
Head to head
When they last met (25 Mar 2026) it ended Barranquilla 3–0 Leones FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leones FC 1.2 xG, Barranquilla 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leones FC 40%, draw 23%, Barranquilla 37%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Barranquilla to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leones FC 1–1 Barranquilla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leones FC40%fair 2.49 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.00
Barranquilla37%fair 2.72 · @3.30
2.38Expected goals
1.22Leones FC xG
1.16Barranquilla xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Leones FC 1.2 – 1.2 Barranquilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Leones FC vs Barranquilla?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Leones FC vs Barranquilla?
On our numbers Leones FC have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Barranquilla 37%.
How many goals will there be in Leones FC vs Barranquilla?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leones FC vs Barranquilla?
Our predicted score is Leones FC 1–1 Barranquilla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Leones FC vs Barranquilla?
Leones FC vs Barranquilla (Primera B) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
