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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Envigado v Internacional Palmira: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Colombia · Estadio Polideportivo Sur
1–1
FT
Envigado 41%Draw 25%Internacional Palmira 34% Expected goals 1.17 – 1.03
54%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.85 · bookmaker 2.05 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
2.05Odds
2

Value bet: Internacional Palmira to win @ 3.40 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultEnvigado to win ✗41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.77

Envigado vs Internacional Palmira: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Internacional Palmira travel to face Envigado on Sunday 11 October in the Primera B, with Estadio Polideportivo Sur the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT. In the table, Envigado are 1st, leading the league, on 7 points after 4 matches; Internacional Palmira are 14th (in the drop zone) with 16.

Current form

Envigado, last 5: DDWDD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Bogota FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Internacional Palmira, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Tigres FC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (11 May 2026) it ended Internacional Palmira 0–0 Envigado. The last 2 head-to-heads: Envigado 0 wins, Internacional Palmira 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 0.0 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Envigado 1.2 xG, Internacional Palmira 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Envigado 41%, draw 25%, Internacional Palmira 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.05.
  • Price worth noting: Internacional Palmira to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 34%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.85, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Envigado 1–1 Internacional Palmira. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Envigado41%fair 2.43 · @2.15
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @2.75
Internacional Palmira34%fair 2.96 · @3.40
2.20Expected goals
1.17Envigado xG
1.03Internacional Palmira xG
54%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Envigado 1.2 – 1.0 Internacional Palmira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEnvigado to win ✗41%2.432.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75%1.331.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.852.05 ▲
Draw no betEnvigado (draw no bet)55%1.82–
Asian handicapInternacional Palmira +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreEnvigado to score first ✗47%2.11–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Envigado / FT Envigado ✗22%4.49–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.77–

Recent results

Envigado – last 6

DDWDDD
5 Oct@ Bogota FC3–3D
1 Octvs Orsomarso0–0D
27 Sepvs Depor FC3–0W
22 Sep@ Real Cartagena0–0D
12 Sepvs Leones FC1–1D
6 Sep@ Popayan2–2D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Internacional Palmira – last 6

LWWWLL
4 Oct@ Tigres FC0–1L
28 Sepvs Leones FC1–0W
22 Sep@ Ind. Yumbo1–0W
13 Sepvs Real Cartagena2–1W
9 Sepvs Depor FC0–1L
4 Sepvs Real Cundinamarca0–2L
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 May 2026Internacional Palmira v Envigado0–0
4 May 2026Envigado v Internacional Palmira0–0
Envigado vs Internacional Palmira head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Envigado4219149+2171
2Quindio3920109+1370
3Real Cartagena41171410+1765
4Union Magdalena4017149+1665
5Internacional Palmira3617109+1061
6Tigres FC39131412+653
7Ind. Yumbo3412139+649
8Bogota FC36101412-644
9Real Cundinamarca33101211+142
10Popayan34101113-441
11Barranquilla36101016-440
12Patriotas309813-1035
13Orsomarso3081012-734
14Depor FC306915-1627
15Real Santander3051213-1727
16Leones FC305916-2624

More Primera B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Envigado vs Internacional Palmira?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.

Who will win Envigado vs Internacional Palmira?

On our numbers Envigado have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Internacional Palmira 34%.

How many goals will there be in Envigado vs Internacional Palmira?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Envigado vs Internacional Palmira?

Our predicted score is Envigado 1–1 Internacional Palmira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Envigado vs Internacional Palmira?

Envigado vs Internacional Palmira (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Polideportivo Sur.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.