Union Magdalena 66%Draw 21%Leones FC 13%Expected goals 1.71 – 0.58
66%
Betarazi pick
Union Magdalena to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultUnion Magdalena to win ✗66% · @1.44
Double chanceUnion Magdalena or draw ✓87% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.62
Union Magdalena vs Leones FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Union Magdalena welcome Leones FC to Estadio Sierra Nevada for a Primera B fixture on Sunday 11 October (23:00 WAT). In the table, Union Magdalena are 3rd, among the top four, on 4 points after 4 matches; Leones FC are 16th (in the drop zone) with 14.
Current form
Union Magdalena, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Popayan, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Leones FC, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Barranquilla, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Union Magdalena, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.3 for Leones FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union Magdalena 1.7 xG, Leones FC 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union Magdalena 66%, draw 21%, Leones FC 13%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Union Magdalena to win (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Magdalena 1–0 Leones FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union Magdalena66%fair 1.52 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.60
Leones FC13%fair 7.52 · @6.50
2.29Expected goals
1.71Union Magdalena xG
0.58Leones FC xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–015%
0–010%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Union Magdalena 1.7 – 0.6 Leones FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Magdalena to win✗
66%
1.52
1.44
Double chance
Union Magdalena or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
2.00
Draw no bet
Union Magdalena (draw no bet)
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Union Magdalena -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Union Magdalena to score first✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Union Magdalena ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Magdalena / FT Union Magdalena✗
40%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.62
–
Recent results
Union Magdalena – last 6
DWDDWL
7 Oct
@ Popayan
1–1
D
3 Oct
@ Real Santander
3–1
W
30 Sep
vs Real Cartagena
1–1
D
26 Sep
vs Santa Fe
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Patriotas
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ Real Cundinamarca
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Leones FC – last 6
DLLDLL
7 Oct
vs Barranquilla
1–1
D
28 Sep
@ Internacional Palmira
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Popayan
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Envigado
1–1
D
4 Sep
vs Depor FC
0–3
L
28 Aug
@ Ind. Yumbo
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Magdalena and Leones FC.
What is the prediction for Union Magdalena vs Leones FC?
Our pick is Union Magdalena to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Union Magdalena vs Leones FC?
On our numbers Union Magdalena have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Leones FC 13%.
How many goals will there be in Union Magdalena vs Leones FC?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Magdalena vs Leones FC?
Our predicted score is Union Magdalena 1–0 Leones FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Union Magdalena vs Leones FC?
Union Magdalena vs Leones FC (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Sierra Nevada.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
