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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Orsomarso v Real Cartagena: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Colombia · Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata
0–1
FT
Orsomarso 35%Draw 25%Real Cartagena 40% Expected goals 1.16 – 1.26
50%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 2.00 · bookmaker 1.83 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
1.83Odds

Picks by market

ResultReal Cartagena to win ✓40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓11% · fair 8.90

Orsomarso vs Real Cartagena: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Orsomarso welcome Real Cartagena to Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata for a Primera B fixture on Saturday 5 September (01:30 WAT). In the table, Orsomarso are 13th, in the drop zone, on 17 points after 15 matches; Real Cartagena are 3rd (among the top four) with 4. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Orsomarso, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Real Cundinamarca, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Real Cartagena, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Tigres FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (7 Mar 2026) it ended Real Cartagena 4–0 Orsomarso.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Orsomarso 1.2 xG, Real Cartagena 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Orsomarso 35%, draw 25%, Real Cartagena 40%.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (50%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orsomarso 0–1 Real Cartagena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Orsomarso35%fair 2.85 · @2.90
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @2.80
Real Cartagena40%fair 2.48 · @2.30
2.42Expected goals
1.16Orsomarso xG
1.26Real Cartagena xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Orsomarso 1.2 – 1.3 Real Cartagena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Cartagena to win ✓40%2.482.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.36
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓50%2.001.83
Draw no betReal Cartagena (draw no bet) ✓53%1.87–
Asian handicapOrsomarso +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗70%1.44–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.77–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreReal Cartagena to score first ✓48%2.10–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Cartagena / FT Real Cartagena ✓22%4.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓11%8.90–

Recent results

Orsomarso – last 6

WDDWDD
24 Augvs Real Cundinamarca2–0W
20 Aug@ Patriotas1–1D
1 Aug@ Union Magdalena0–0D
26 Julvs Barranquilla1–0W
20 May@ Fortaleza FC1–1D
16 Mayvs Independiente Medellin1–1D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Real Cartagena – last 6

LWWLDD
29 Augvs Tigres FC0–3L
24 Aug@ Leones FC6–1W
20 Augvs Bogota FC2–0W
7 Augvs Ind. Yumbo0–2L
2 Aug@ Real Soacha1–1D
30 Julvs America de Cali1–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

7 Mar 2026Real Cartagena v Orsomarso4–0
Orsomarso vs Real Cartagena head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Envigado4219149+2171
2Quindio3920109+1370
3Real Cartagena41171410+1765
4Union Magdalena4017149+1665
5Internacional Palmira3617109+1061
6Tigres FC39131412+653
7Ind. Yumbo3412139+649
8Bogota FC36101412-644
9Real Cundinamarca33101211+142
10Popayan34101113-441
11Barranquilla36101016-440
12Patriotas309813-1035
13Orsomarso3081012-734
14Depor FC306915-1627
15Real Santander3051213-1727
16Leones FC305916-2624

More Primera B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Orsomarso vs Real Cartagena?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.

Who will win Orsomarso vs Real Cartagena?

On our numbers Orsomarso have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Real Cartagena 40%.

How many goals will there be in Orsomarso vs Real Cartagena?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Orsomarso vs Real Cartagena?

Our predicted score is Orsomarso 0–1 Real Cartagena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Orsomarso vs Real Cartagena?

Orsomarso vs Real Cartagena (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.