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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Union Magdalena v Barranquilla: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Colombia · Estadio Sierra Nevada
1–2
FT
Union Magdalena 66%Draw 19%Barranquilla 15% Expected goals 1.74 – 0.64
66%
Betarazi pick

Union Magdalena to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultUnion Magdalena to win ✗66% · @1.40
Double chanceUnion Magdalena or draw ✗85% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.21

Union Magdalena vs Barranquilla: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 5 September the Primera B brings Union Magdalena against Barranquilla at Estadio Sierra Nevada. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT. In the table, Union Magdalena are 3rd, among the top four, on 4 points after 4 matches; Barranquilla are 15th (in the drop zone) with 14.

Current form

Union Magdalena, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Envigado, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.

Barranquilla, last 5: WLDDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Popayan, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Barranquilla 1–1 Union Magdalena. The last 3 head-to-heads: Union Magdalena 2 wins, Barranquilla 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.7 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Union Magdalena 1.7 xG, Barranquilla 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Union Magdalena 66%, draw 19%, Barranquilla 15%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Union Magdalena to win (66%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Magdalena 1–0 Barranquilla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Union Magdalena66%fair 1.52 · @1.40
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @3.75
Barranquilla15%fair 6.71 · @6.50
2.38Expected goals
1.74Union Magdalena xG
0.64Barranquilla xG
49%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%

From our goals model: Union Magdalena 1.7 – 0.6 Barranquilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUnion Magdalena to win ✗66%1.521.40
Double chanceUnion Magdalena or draw ✗85%1.181.10
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.981.75
Draw no betUnion Magdalena (draw no bet) ✗82%1.23–
Asian handicapUnion Magdalena -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.74–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreUnion Magdalena to score first ✗66%1.51–
Half-time resultUnion Magdalena ahead at half-time ✗44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Union Magdalena / FT Union Magdalena ✗40%2.49–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.21–

Recent results

Union Magdalena – last 6

WLLLDL
1 Sep@ Envigado1–0W
29 Augvs Quindio0–2L
24 Aug@ Tigres FC0–1L
6 Aug@ Santa Fe0–2L
1 Augvs Orsomarso0–0D
25 Jul@ Bogota FC0–1L
0.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Barranquilla – last 6

WLDDDL
1 Sepvs Popayan2–1W
25 Aug@ Internacional Palmira0–1L
20 Aug@ Real Santander2–2D
2 Augvs Depor FC2–2D
29 Julvs Junior3–3D
26 Jul@ Orsomarso0–1L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Barranquilla v Union Magdalena1–1
4 May 2026Union Magdalena v Barranquilla2–0
4 Mar 2026Barranquilla v Union Magdalena1–3
Union Magdalena vs Barranquilla head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Envigado4219149+2171
2Quindio3920109+1370
3Real Cartagena41171410+1765
4Union Magdalena4017149+1665
5Internacional Palmira3617109+1061
6Tigres FC39131412+653
7Ind. Yumbo3412139+649
8Bogota FC36101412-644
9Real Cundinamarca33101211+142
10Popayan34101113-441
11Barranquilla36101016-440
12Patriotas309813-1035
13Orsomarso3081012-734
14Depor FC306915-1627
15Real Santander3051213-1727
16Leones FC305916-2624

More Primera B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Union Magdalena vs Barranquilla?

Our pick is Union Magdalena to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Union Magdalena vs Barranquilla?

On our numbers Union Magdalena have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Barranquilla 15%.

How many goals will there be in Union Magdalena vs Barranquilla?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Union Magdalena vs Barranquilla?

Our predicted score is Union Magdalena 1–0 Barranquilla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Union Magdalena vs Barranquilla?

Union Magdalena vs Barranquilla (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Sierra Nevada.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.