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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Real Cartagena v Envigado: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Colombia
0–0
FT
Real Cartagena 57%Draw 23%Envigado 21% Expected goals 1.65 – 0.86
79%
Betarazi pick

Real Cartagena or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultReal Cartagena to win ✗57% · @1.83
Double chanceReal Cartagena or draw ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.51

Real Cartagena vs Envigado: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Real Cartagena welcome Envigado for a Primera B fixture on Tuesday 22 September (01:30 WAT). In the table, Real Cartagena are 3rd, among the top four, on 4 points after 3 matches; Envigado are 1st (leading the league) with 7. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Real Cartagena, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Internacional Palmira, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Envigado, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Leones FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Real Cartagena, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Envigado.

Head to head

When they last met (29 May 2026) it ended Envigado 1–1 Real Cartagena. The last 3 head-to-heads: Real Cartagena 0 wins, Envigado 1, draws 2. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 3 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Real Cartagena 1.6 xG, Envigado 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Real Cartagena 57%, draw 23%, Envigado 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: Real Cartagena or draw (79%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Real Cartagena or draw (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Cartagena 1–0 Envigado. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Real Cartagena57%fair 1.76 · @1.83
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.00
Envigado21%fair 4.85 · @3.90
2.51Expected goals
1.65Real Cartagena xG
0.86Envigado xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–112%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%

From our goals model: Real Cartagena 1.6 – 0.9 Envigado expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Cartagena to win ✗57%1.761.83
Double chanceReal Cartagena or draw ✓79%1.261.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.811.85
Draw no betReal Cartagena (draw no bet)73%1.36–
Asian handicapEnvigado +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.85–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreReal Cartagena to score first ✗60%1.66–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Cartagena / FT Real Cartagena ✗34%2.93–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.51–

Recent results

Real Cartagena – last 6

LWLWWL
13 Sep@ Internacional Palmira1–2L
5 Sep@ Orsomarso1–0W
29 Augvs Tigres FC0–3L
24 Aug@ Leones FC6–1W
20 Augvs Bogota FC2–0W
7 Augvs Ind. Yumbo0–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Envigado – last 6

DDLLLD
12 Sepvs Leones FC1–1D
6 Sep@ Popayan2–2D
1 Sepvs Union Magdalena0–1L
24 Aug@ Quindio0–1L
19 Aug@ Tigres FC1–2L
3 Aug@ Ind. Yumbo1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 May 2026Envigado v Real Cartagena1–1
26 May 2026Real Cartagena v Envigado2–3
16 Mar 2026Envigado v Real Cartagena1–1
Real Cartagena vs Envigado head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Envigado4219149+2171
2Quindio3920109+1370
3Real Cartagena41171410+1765
4Union Magdalena4017149+1665
5Internacional Palmira3617109+1061
6Tigres FC39131412+653
7Ind. Yumbo3412139+649
8Bogota FC36101412-644
9Real Cundinamarca33101211+142
10Popayan34101113-441
11Barranquilla36101016-440
12Patriotas309813-1035
13Orsomarso3081012-734
14Depor FC306915-1627
15Real Santander3051213-1727
16Leones FC305916-2624

More Primera B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Cartagena vs Envigado?

Our pick is Real Cartagena or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Real Cartagena vs Envigado?

On our numbers Real Cartagena have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Envigado 21%.

How many goals will there be in Real Cartagena vs Envigado?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Cartagena vs Envigado?

Our predicted score is Real Cartagena 1–0 Envigado, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Real Cartagena vs Envigado?

Real Cartagena vs Envigado (Primera B) kicks off on Tuesday 22 September 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.