Real Santander vs Orsomarso: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Real Santander welcome Orsomarso to Estadio Villa Concha for a Primera B fixture on Tuesday 22 September (22:00 WAT). In the table, Real Santander are 9th, lower half, on 20 points after 15 matches; Orsomarso are 13th (lower half) with 17. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Real Santander, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Popayan, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Orsomarso, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Depor FC, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Real Santander, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Orsomarso.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Santander 1.1 xG, Orsomarso 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Santander 38%, draw 25%, Orsomarso 37%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Santander 1–1 Orsomarso. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Santander38%fair 2.62 · @2.38
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @2.80
Orsomarso37%fair 2.68 · @2.80
2.16Expected goals
1.09Real Santander xG
1.07Orsomarso xG
55%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Real Santander 1.1 – 1.1 Orsomarso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Santander to win✗
38%
2.62
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.80
Draw no bet
Real Santander (draw no bet)
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Orsomarso +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Real Santander to score first✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
20%
5.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.66
–
Recent results
Real Santander – last 6
LDWWDD
13 Sep
@ Popayan
0–2
L
5 Sep
@ Quindio
0–0
D
29 Aug
vs Internacional Palmira
3–1
W
24 Aug
vs Ind. Yumbo
1–0
W
20 Aug
vs Barranquilla
2–2
D
6 Aug
@ Depor FC
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Orsomarso – last 6
LLLWDD
14 Sep
vs Depor FC
0–2
L
10 Sep
vs Tigres FC
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Real Cartagena
0–1
L
24 Aug
vs Real Cundinamarca
2–0
W
20 Aug
@ Patriotas
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Union Magdalena
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Santander and Orsomarso.
What is the prediction for Real Santander vs Orsomarso?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Real Santander vs Orsomarso?
On our numbers Real Santander have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Orsomarso 37%.
How many goals will there be in Real Santander vs Orsomarso?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Santander vs Orsomarso?
Our predicted score is Real Santander 1–1 Orsomarso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Real Santander vs Orsomarso?
Real Santander vs Orsomarso (Primera B) kicks off on Tuesday 22 September 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Villa Concha.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
