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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Envigado v Real Santander: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Colombia · Estadio Polideportivo Sur
1–1
FT
Envigado 66%Draw 20%Real Santander 14% Expected goals 1.71 – 0.60
66%
Betarazi pick

Envigado to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultEnvigado to win ✗66% · @1.60
Double chanceEnvigado or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.47

Envigado vs Real Santander: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Envigado welcome Real Santander to Estadio Polideportivo Sur for a Primera B fixture on Thursday 15 October (21:00 WAT). In the table, Envigado are 1st, leading the league, on 7 points after 4 matches; Real Santander are 9th (in the drop zone) with 20. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Envigado, last 5: DDDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Internacional Palmira, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Real Santander, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Real Cundinamarca, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (31 Mar 2026) it ended Real Santander 1–3 Envigado.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Envigado 1.7 xG, Real Santander 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Envigado 66%, draw 20%, Real Santander 14%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Envigado to win (66%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Envigado 1–0 Real Santander. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Envigado66%fair 1.52 · @1.60
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @3.30
Real Santander14%fair 7.13 · @5.00
2.31Expected goals
1.71Envigado xG
0.60Real Santander xG
52%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–014%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%

From our goals model: Envigado 1.7 – 0.6 Real Santander expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEnvigado to win ✗66%1.521.60 ▲
Double chanceEnvigado or draw ✓86%1.161.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.941.91
Draw no betEnvigado (draw no bet)82%1.21–
Asian handicapEnvigado -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.69–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreEnvigado to score first67%1.50–
Half-time resultEnvigado ahead at half-time ✗44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Envigado / FT Envigado ✗40%2.49–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.47–

Recent results

Envigado – last 6

DDDWDD
11 Octvs Internacional Palmira1–1D
5 Oct@ Bogota FC3–3D
1 Octvs Orsomarso0–0D
27 Sepvs Depor FC3–0W
22 Sep@ Real Cartagena0–0D
12 Sepvs Leones FC1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Real Santander – last 6

WLDDLD
9 Oct@ Real Cundinamarca1–0W
3 Octvs Union Magdalena1–3L
26 Sep@ Tigres FC1–1D
22 Sepvs Orsomarso0–0D
13 Sep@ Popayan0–2L
5 Sep@ Quindio0–0D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

31 Mar 2026Real Santander v Envigado1–3
Envigado vs Real Santander head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Envigado4219149+2171
2Quindio3920109+1370
3Real Cartagena41171410+1765
4Union Magdalena4017149+1665
5Internacional Palmira3617109+1061
6Tigres FC39131412+653
7Ind. Yumbo3412139+649
8Bogota FC36101412-644
9Real Cundinamarca33101211+142
10Popayan34101113-441
11Barranquilla36101016-440
12Patriotas309813-1035
13Orsomarso3081012-734
14Depor FC306915-1627
15Real Santander3051213-1727
16Leones FC305916-2624

More Primera B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Envigado vs Real Santander?

Our pick is Envigado to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Envigado vs Real Santander?

On our numbers Envigado have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Real Santander 14%.

How many goals will there be in Envigado vs Real Santander?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Envigado vs Real Santander?

Our predicted score is Envigado 1–0 Real Santander, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Envigado vs Real Santander?

Envigado vs Real Santander (Primera B) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Polideportivo Sur.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.