Value bet: Ind. Yumbo to win @ 3.40 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUnion Magdalena to win ✗43% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.69
Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 15 October the Primera B brings Union Magdalena against Ind. Yumbo at Estadio Sierra Nevada. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT. In the table, Union Magdalena are 3rd, among the top four, on 4 points after 4 matches; Ind. Yumbo are 4th (among the top four) with 2. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Union Magdalena, last 5: DDWDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Leones FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Ind. Yumbo, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tigres FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (30 Mar 2026) it ended Ind. Yumbo 0–2 Union Magdalena.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union Magdalena 1.2 xG, Ind. Yumbo 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union Magdalena 43%, draw 24%, Ind. Yumbo 33%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Ind. Yumbo to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.91). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Magdalena 1–1 Ind. Yumbo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union Magdalena43%fair 2.33 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @2.90
Ind. Yumbo33%fair 3.02 · @3.40
2.17Expected goals
1.18Union Magdalena xG
0.99Ind. Yumbo xG
53%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Union Magdalena 1.2 – 1.0 Ind. Yumbo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo?
On our numbers Union Magdalena have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ind. Yumbo 33%.
How many goals will there be in Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo?
Our predicted score is Union Magdalena 1–1 Ind. Yumbo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo?
Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo (Primera B) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Sierra Nevada.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
