Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Cali: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:10 WAT, Sunday 2 August: Independiente Medellin v Deportivo Cali in the Primera A, played at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. In the table, Independiente Medellin are 6th, upper half, on 29 points after 18 matches; Deportivo Cali are 3rd (among the top four) with 34.
Current form
Independiente Medellin, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Vasco DA Gama, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Deportivo Cali, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Jaguares, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Deportivo Cali, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.3 for Independiente Medellin.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Independiente Medellin 1.2 xG, Deportivo Cali 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Independiente Medellin 46%, draw 27%, Deportivo Cali 28%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independiente Medellin 1–1 Deportivo Cali. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Independiente Medellin46%fair 2.19 · @1.94
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.30
Deportivo Cali28%fair 3.63 · @4.00
2.27Expected goals
1.19Independiente Medellin xG
1.09Deportivo Cali xG
50%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Independiente Medellin 1.2 – 1.1 Deportivo Cali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Independiente Medellin
Deportivo Cali
Attack vs Primera A average
+16%
+5%
Goals conceded vs average
+6%
-47%
Our expected goals here
0.91
1.18
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente Medellin to win✓
46%
2.19
1.94
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.91
Draw no bet
Independiente Medellin (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Cali +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.07
First team to score
Independiente Medellin to score first✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente Medellin / FT Independiente Medellin✗
22%
4.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.68
–
Recent results
Independiente Medellin – last 6
LWDWDL
29 Jul
@ Vasco DA Gama
0–1
L
25 Jul
vs Deportivo Pasto
3–2
W
22 Jul
vs Vasco DA Gama
2–2
D
2 Jun
vs Cucuta
2–1
W
30 May
@ Leones FC
1–1
D
27 May
@ Estudiantes L.P.
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Deportivo Cali – last 6
WWWWWL
25 Jul
vs Jaguares
2–0
W
24 May
@ Real Santander
2–1
W
21 May
vs Alianza Valledupar
1–0
W
12 May
vs Bucaramanga
2–0
W
26 Apr
vs America de Cali
1–0
W
17 Apr
@ Chico
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independiente Medellin and Deportivo Cali.
What is the prediction for Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Cali?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Cali?
On our numbers Independiente Medellin have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Deportivo Cali 28%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Cali?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Cali?
Our predicted score is Independiente Medellin 1–1 Deportivo Cali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Cali?
Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Cali (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 00:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
