Jaguares 19%Draw 22%Atletico Nacional 59%Expected goals 0.95 – 1.96
81%
Betarazi pick
Atletico Nacional or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultAtletico Nacional to win ✓59% · @1.76
Double chanceAtletico Nacional or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Jaguares vs Atletico Nacional: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 2 August the Primera A brings Jaguares against Atletico Nacional at Estadio Jaraguay. Kick-off: 21:45 WAT. In the table, Jaguares are 19th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 18 matches; Atletico Nacional are 1st (leading the league) with 39. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Jaguares, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Deportivo Cali, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Atletico Nacional, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Tigres FC, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Atletico Nacional, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.5 for Jaguares.
Head to head
When they last met (7 Apr 2026) it ended Atletico Nacional 2–1 Jaguares.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jaguares 1.0 xG, Atletico Nacional 2.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 52% and GG at 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jaguares 19%, draw 22%, Atletico Nacional 59%.
Lower-risk option: Atletico Nacional or draw (81%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Atletico Nacional or draw (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jaguares 0–1 Atletico Nacional. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jaguares19%fair 5.35 · @4.45
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.60
Atletico Nacional59%fair 1.69 · @1.76
2.91Expected goals
0.95Jaguares xG
1.96Atletico Nacional xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
0–210%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Jaguares 1.0 – 2.0 Atletico Nacional expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Jaguares
Atletico Nacional
Attack vs Primera A average
-16%
+48%
Goals conceded vs average
+42%
-19%
Our expected goals here
1.00
2.22
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Jaguares vs Atletico Nacional?
Our pick is Atletico Nacional or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Jaguares vs Atletico Nacional?
On our numbers Jaguares have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Atletico Nacional 59%.
How many goals will there be in Jaguares vs Atletico Nacional?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jaguares vs Atletico Nacional?
Our predicted score is Jaguares 0–1 Atletico Nacional, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Jaguares vs Atletico Nacional?
Jaguares vs Atletico Nacional (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 21:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jaraguay.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
