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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

America de Cali v Fortaleza FC: numbers & prediction

Primera A · Colombia · Olimpico Pascual Guerrero
2–1
FT
America de Cali 60%Draw 22%Fortaleza FC 18% Expected goals 1.69 – 0.78
60%
Betarazi pick

America de Cali to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.57Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultAmerica de Cali to win ✓60% · @1.57
Double chanceAmerica de Cali or draw ✓82% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.61

America de Cali vs Fortaleza FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 30 October the Primera A brings America de Cali against Fortaleza FC at Olimpico Pascual Guerrero. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT. In the table, America de Cali are 2nd, among the top four, on 36 points after 18 matches; Fortaleza FC are 20th (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

America de Cali, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Cucuta, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Fortaleza FC, last 5: DLDDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Deportivo Cali, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours America de Cali, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Fortaleza FC.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Apr 2026) it ended Fortaleza FC 1–2 America de Cali.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give America de Cali 1.7 xG, Fortaleza FC 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – America de Cali 60%, draw 22%, Fortaleza FC 18%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was America de Cali to win (60%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: America de Cali 1–0 Fortaleza FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

America de Cali60%fair 1.67 · @1.57
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.50
Fortaleza FC18%fair 5.59 · @6.00
2.47Expected goals
1.69America de Cali xG
0.78Fortaleza FC xG
51%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%

From our goals model: America de Cali 1.7 – 0.8 Fortaleza FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAmerica de Cali to win ✓60%1.671.57
Double chanceAmerica de Cali or draw ✓82%1.221.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.952.10 ▲
Draw no betAmerica de Cali (draw no bet) ✓77%1.30–
Asian handicapFortaleza FC +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.42–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.81–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.12–
First team to scoreAmerica de Cali to score first63%1.60–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT America de Cali / FT America de Cali ✗36%2.74–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%10.61–

Recent results

America de Cali – last 6

WWDLWW
25 Octvs Cucuta3–1W
22 Oct@ Barranquilla4–0W
18 Oct@ Bucaramanga1–1D
12 Octvs Independiente Medellin1–2L
5 Oct@ Llaneros2–1W
24 Sepvs Águilas Doradas1–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Fortaleza FC – last 6

DLDDDD
25 Octvs Deportivo Cali1–1D
21 Oct@ Internacional de Bogota1–2L
11 Oct@ Santa Fe2–2D
9 Octvs Millonarios1–1D
4 Oct@ Deportivo Pasto0–0D
28 Sepvs Deportes Tolima2–2D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Apr 2026Fortaleza FC v America de Cali1–2
America de Cali vs Fortaleza FC head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

More Primera A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for America de Cali vs Fortaleza FC?

Our pick is America de Cali to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win America de Cali vs Fortaleza FC?

On our numbers America de Cali have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Fortaleza FC 18%.

How many goals will there be in America de Cali vs Fortaleza FC?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for America de Cali vs Fortaleza FC?

Our predicted score is America de Cali 1–0 Fortaleza FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is America de Cali vs Fortaleza FC?

America de Cali vs Fortaleza FC (Primera A) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Olimpico Pascual Guerrero.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.