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Internacional de Bogota v Independiente Medellin: numbers & prediction

Primera A · Colombia · Estadio Metropolitano de Techo
Internacional de Bogota 36%Draw 24%Independiente Medellin 40% Expected goals 1.34 – 1.42
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultIndependiente Medellin to win ✗40% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.69

Internacional de Bogota vs Independiente Medellin: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 29 October the Primera A brings Internacional de Bogota against Independiente Medellin at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo. Kick-off: 02:05 WAT. In the table, Internacional de Bogota are 13th, lower half, on 20 points after 18 matches; Independiente Medellin are 6th (upper half) with 29.

Current form

Internacional de Bogota, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Alianza Valledupar, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Independiente Medellin, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Atletico Nacional, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Internacional de Bogota, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Independiente Medellin.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Internacional de Bogota 1.3 xG, Independiente Medellin 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Internacional de Bogota 36%, draw 24%, Independiente Medellin 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Internacional de Bogota 1–1 Independiente Medellin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Internacional de Bogota36%fair 2.77 · @2.80
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.00
Independiente Medellin40%fair 2.51 · @2.45
2.76Expected goals
1.34Internacional de Bogota xG
1.42Independiente Medellin xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%

From our goals model: Internacional de Bogota 1.3 – 1.4 Independiente Medellin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIndependiente Medellin to win ✗40%2.512.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.611.65
Draw no betIndependiente Medellin (draw no bet) ✗52%1.91–
Asian handicapInternacional de Bogota +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.92–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.43–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
First team to scoreIndependiente Medellin to score first ✗48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Independiente Medellin / FT Independiente Medellin ✗23%4.37–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.69–

Recent results

Internacional de Bogota – last 6

LWWDDD
25 Oct@ Alianza Valledupar0–1L
21 Octvs Fortaleza FC2–1W
16 Octvs Llaneros4–1W
11 Oct@ Junior2–2D
4 Octvs Once Caldas1–1D
26 Sep@ Deportivo Pereira0–0D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Independiente Medellin – last 6

LLLWLD
26 Oct@ Atletico Nacional1–2L
18 Octvs Once Caldas0–2L
15 Oct@ Atletico Nacional2–3L
12 Oct@ America de Cali2–1W
6 Octvs Santa Fe0–1L
30 Sepvs Millonarios2–2D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Internacional de Bogota and Independiente Medellin.

Internacional de Bogota vs Independiente Medellin head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

More Primera A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Internacional de Bogota vs Independiente Medellin?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Internacional de Bogota vs Independiente Medellin?

On our numbers Internacional de Bogota have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Independiente Medellin 40%.

How many goals will there be in Internacional de Bogota vs Independiente Medellin?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Internacional de Bogota vs Independiente Medellin?

Our predicted score is Internacional de Bogota 1–1 Independiente Medellin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Internacional de Bogota vs Independiente Medellin?

Internacional de Bogota vs Independiente Medellin (Primera A) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 02:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.