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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Once Caldas v Alianza Valledupar: numbers & prediction

Primera A · Colombia · Estadio Palogrande
1–0
FT
Once Caldas 67%Draw 23%Alianza Valledupar 10% Expected goals 1.89 – 0.62
67%
Betarazi pick

Once Caldas to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultOnce Caldas to win ✓67% · @1.44
Double chanceOnce Caldas or draw ✓90% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.14

Once Caldas vs Alianza Valledupar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Alianza Valledupar travel to face Once Caldas on Thursday 29 October in the Primera A, with Estadio Palogrande the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Once Caldas are 8th, upper half, on 27 points after 18 matches; Alianza Valledupar are 16th (lower half) with 18.

Current form

Once Caldas, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Deportivo Pereira, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Alianza Valledupar, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Internacional de Bogota, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (10 Sep 2026) it ended Once Caldas 1–0 Alianza Valledupar.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Once Caldas 1.9 xG, Alianza Valledupar 0.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Once Caldas 67%, draw 23%, Alianza Valledupar 10%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Once Caldas to win (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Once Caldas 1–0 Alianza Valledupar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Once Caldas67%fair 1.50 · @1.44
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.90
Alianza Valledupar10%fair 9.88 · @6.50
2.51Expected goals
1.89Once Caldas xG
0.62Alianza Valledupar xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–015%
1–19%
3–09%
2–19%
0–08%

From our goals model: Once Caldas 1.9 – 0.6 Alianza Valledupar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOnce Caldas to win ✓67%1.501.44
Double chanceOnce Caldas or draw ✓90%1.111.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.892.00 ▲
Draw no betOnce Caldas (draw no bet) ✓87%1.15–
Asian handicapOnce Caldas -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.85–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreOnce Caldas to score first ✓69%1.44–
Half-time resultOnce Caldas ahead at half-time ✗47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Once Caldas / FT Once Caldas ✗44%2.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.14–

Recent results

Once Caldas – last 6

DDWWDL
25 Octvs Deportivo Pereira1–1D
21 Oct@ Millonarios1–1D
18 Oct@ Independiente Medellin2–0W
10 Octvs Llaneros1–0W
4 Oct@ Internacional de Bogota1–1D
26 Sepvs Bucaramanga1–3L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Alianza Valledupar – last 6

WWDLWL
25 Octvs Internacional de Bogota1–0W
20 Oct@ Deportivo Pasto1–0W
10 Octvs Águilas Doradas2–2D
3 Oct@ Deportivo Cali1–3L
27 Sep@ Jaguares2–1W
19 Sepvs Santa Fe1–4L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 Sep 2026Once Caldas v Alianza Valledupar1–0
Once Caldas vs Alianza Valledupar head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

More Primera A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Once Caldas vs Alianza Valledupar?

Our pick is Once Caldas to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Once Caldas vs Alianza Valledupar?

On our numbers Once Caldas have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Alianza Valledupar 10%.

How many goals will there be in Once Caldas vs Alianza Valledupar?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Once Caldas vs Alianza Valledupar?

Our predicted score is Once Caldas 1–0 Alianza Valledupar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Once Caldas vs Alianza Valledupar?

Once Caldas vs Alianza Valledupar (Primera A) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Palogrande.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.