Value bet: Internacional de Bogota to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultInternacional de Bogota to win ✗63% · @1.80
Double chanceInternacional de Bogota or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.52
Internacional de Bogota vs Deportivo Pasto: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:15 WAT, Friday 28 August: Internacional de Bogota v Deportivo Pasto in the Primera A, played at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo. In the table, Internacional de Bogota are 13th, lower half, on 20 points after 18 matches; Deportivo Pasto are 18th (in the drop zone) with 15.
Current form
Internacional de Bogota, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Deportivo Cali, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Deportivo Pasto, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Llaneros, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Internacional de Bogota, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Deportivo Pasto.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Deportivo Pasto 1–1 Internacional de Bogota.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Internacional de Bogota 1.9 xG, Deportivo Pasto 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Internacional de Bogota 63%, draw 24%, Deportivo Pasto 13%.
Lower-risk option: Internacional de Bogota or draw (87%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Internacional de Bogota to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Internacional de Bogota 1–0 Deportivo Pasto. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Internacional de Bogota63%fair 1.58 · @1.80
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.35
Deportivo Pasto13%fair 7.66 · @4.55
2.61Expected goals
1.87Internacional de Bogota xG
0.74Deportivo Pasto xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Internacional de Bogota 1.9 – 0.7 Deportivo Pasto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Internacional de Bogota to win✗
63%
1.58
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Internacional de Bogota or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
2.00
Draw no bet
Internacional de Bogota (draw no bet)
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Internacional de Bogota -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.07
First team to score
Internacional de Bogota to score first
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Internacional de Bogota ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Internacional de Bogota / FT Internacional de Bogota✗
What is the prediction for Internacional de Bogota vs Deportivo Pasto?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Internacional de Bogota vs Deportivo Pasto?
On our numbers Internacional de Bogota have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Deportivo Pasto 13%.
How many goals will there be in Internacional de Bogota vs Deportivo Pasto?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Internacional de Bogota vs Deportivo Pasto?
Our predicted score is Internacional de Bogota 1–0 Deportivo Pasto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Internacional de Bogota vs Deportivo Pasto?
Internacional de Bogota vs Deportivo Pasto (Primera A) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 02:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
