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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Llaneros v Millonarios: numbers & prediction

Primera A · Colombia · Estadio Bello Horizonte “Rey Pelé”
0–2
FT
Llaneros 31%Draw 23%Millonarios 45% Expected goals 1.02 – 1.30
79%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Llaneros to win @ 3.80 – our chance 31% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultMillonarios to win ✓45% · @2.06
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.81

Llaneros vs Millonarios: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 28 August the Primera A brings Llaneros against Millonarios at Estadio Bello Horizonte “Rey Pelé”. Kick-off: 00:10 WAT. In the table, Llaneros are 12th, lower half, on 23 points after 18 matches; Millonarios are 7th (upper half) with 27.

Current form

Llaneros, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Deportivo Pasto, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Millonarios, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Águilas Doradas, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Llaneros, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Millonarios.

Head to head

When they last met (12 May 2026) it ended Millonarios 1–0 Llaneros.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Llaneros 1.0 xG, Millonarios 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Llaneros 31%, draw 23%, Millonarios 45%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Llaneros to win @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 31%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Llaneros 1–1 Millonarios. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Llaneros31%fair 3.18 · @3.80
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.15
Millonarios45%fair 2.21 · @2.06
2.32Expected goals
1.02Llaneros xG
1.30Millonarios xG
56%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–113%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%

From our goals model: Llaneros 1.0 – 1.3 Millonarios expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMillonarios to win ✓45%2.212.06
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.781.95 ▲
Draw no betMillonarios (draw no bet) ✓59%1.70–
Asian handicapLlaneros +1 (Asian handicap) ✗74%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.501.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.711.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.271.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.111.06
First team to scoreMillonarios to score first ✓51%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Millonarios / FT Millonarios ✓25%4.02–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.81–

Recent results

Llaneros – last 6

WDWDWW
23 Aug@ Deportivo Pasto1–0W
19 Aug@ Águilas Doradas1–1D
4 Augvs Fortaleza FC3–1W
31 Jul@ Bucaramanga1–1D
25 Julvs Deportivo Pereira1–0W
27 May@ Chico1–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Millonarios – last 6

DWWLLL
22 Aug@ Águilas Doradas1–1D
5 Augvs Deportivo Pasto2–0W
2 Aug@ Junior1–0W
26 Julvs Bucaramanga0–1L
19 Julvs Colo Colo0–1L
11 Jul@ Universitario0–2L
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 May 2026Millonarios v Llaneros1–0
Llaneros vs Millonarios head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

More Primera A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Llaneros vs Millonarios?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Llaneros vs Millonarios?

On our numbers Llaneros have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Millonarios 45%.

How many goals will there be in Llaneros vs Millonarios?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Llaneros vs Millonarios?

Our predicted score is Llaneros 1–1 Millonarios, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Llaneros vs Millonarios?

Llaneros vs Millonarios (Primera A) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 00:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bello Horizonte “Rey Pelé”.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.