Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 1 September the Primera A brings Deportes Tolima against Cucuta at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro. Kick-off: 02:05 WAT. In the table, Deportes Tolima are 9th, upper half, on 26 points after 18 matches; Cucuta are 11th (lower half) with 24. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Deportes Tolima, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Independiente del Valle, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Cucuta, last 5: WWDLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Alianza Valledupar, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Feb 2026) it ended Cucuta 3–2 Deportes Tolima.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportes Tolima 1.9 xG, Cucuta 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportes Tolima 65%, draw 20%, Cucuta 15%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportes Tolima 2–0 Cucuta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportes Tolima65%fair 1.55 · @1.43
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @4.30
Cucuta15%fair 6.58 · @7.20
2.66Expected goals
1.89Deportes Tolima xG
0.77Cucuta xG
52%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Deportes Tolima 1.9 – 0.8 Cucuta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta?
On our numbers Deportes Tolima have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Cucuta 15%.
How many goals will there be in Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta?
Our predicted score is Deportes Tolima 2–0 Cucuta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta?
Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta (Primera A) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 02:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
