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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Deportivo Pasto v Deportivo Pereira: numbers & prediction

Primera A · Colombia · Estadio Departamental Libertad
Deportivo Pasto 70%Draw 21%Deportivo Pereira 9% Expected goals 1.95 – 0.56
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultDeportivo Pasto to win ✗70% · @1.46
Double chanceDeportivo Pasto or draw ✗91% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.30

Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:00 WAT, Tuesday 1 September: Deportivo Pasto v Deportivo Pereira in the Primera A, played at Estadio Departamental Libertad. In the table, Deportivo Pasto are 18th, in the drop zone, on 15 points after 18 matches; Deportivo Pereira are 17th (lower half) with 17. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Deportivo Pasto, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Internacional de Bogota, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Deportivo Pereira, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Alianza Valledupar, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Deportivo Pereira, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Deportivo Pasto.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended Deportivo Pereira 2–2 Deportivo Pasto.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Pasto 2.0 xG, Deportivo Pereira 0.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Pasto 70%, draw 21%, Deportivo Pereira 9%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Pasto 1–0 Deportivo Pereira. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Pasto70%fair 1.43 · @1.46
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.90
Deportivo Pereira9%fair 10.89 · @7.90
2.51Expected goals
1.95Deportivo Pasto xG
0.56Deportivo Pereira xG
48%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–015%
3–010%
1–19%
2–19%
0–08%

From our goals model: Deportivo Pasto 2.0 – 0.6 Deportivo Pereira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportivo Pasto to win ✗70%1.431.46
Double chanceDeportivo Pasto or draw ✗91%1.101.07
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.921.65
Draw no betDeportivo Pasto (draw no bet) ✗88%1.13–
Asian handicapDeportivo Pasto -1 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.401.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.871.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.341.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.09
First team to scoreDeportivo Pasto to score first71%1.40–
Half-time resultDeportivo Pasto ahead at half-time ✗49%2.03–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deportivo Pasto / FT Deportivo Pasto ✗46%2.19–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.30–

Recent results

Deportivo Pasto – last 6

DLLLLW
28 Aug@ Internacional de Bogota1–1D
23 Augvs Llaneros0–1L
9 Augvs Deportivo Cali0–2L
5 Aug@ Millonarios0–2L
1 Augvs Águilas Doradas1–2L
29 Jul@ Bogota FC3–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Deportivo Pereira – last 6

DDLWLW
22 Aug@ Alianza Valledupar0–0D
1 Aug@ Fortaleza FC0–0D
25 Jul@ Llaneros0–1L
26 Mayvs Jaguares1–0W
21 May@ Águilas Doradas1–2L
17 Mayvs Real Soacha1–0W
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Feb 2026Deportivo Pereira v Deportivo Pasto2–2
Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

More Primera A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira?

On our numbers Deportivo Pasto have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Deportivo Pereira 9%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Pasto 1–0 Deportivo Pereira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira?

Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira (Primera A) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Departamental Libertad.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.