Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 51% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAmerica de Cali to win ✓64% · @1.39
Double chanceAmerica de Cali or draw ✓84% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.81
America de Cali vs Alianza Valledupar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 3 September the Primera A brings America de Cali against Alianza Valledupar. Kick-off: 22:00 WAT. In the table, America de Cali are 2nd, among the top four, on 36 points after 18 matches; Alianza Valledupar are 16th (lower half) with 18. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
America de Cali, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Jaguares, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Alianza Valledupar, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Atletico Nacional, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours America de Cali, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.3 for Alianza Valledupar.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give America de Cali 1.8 xG, Alianza Valledupar 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – America de Cali 64%, draw 21%, Alianza Valledupar 16%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: America de Cali 1–0 Alianza Valledupar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
America de Cali64%fair 1.56 · @1.39
Draw21%fair 4.88 · @4.20
Alianza Valledupar16%fair 6.42 · @9.25
2.45Expected goals
1.76America de Cali xG
0.70Alianza Valledupar xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: America de Cali 1.8 – 0.7 Alianza Valledupar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
America de Cali to win✓
64%
1.56
1.39
Double chance
America de Cali or draw✓
84%
1.18
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
2.25 ▲
Draw no bet
America de Cali (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
America de Cali -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.09
First team to score
America de Cali to score first✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
America de Cali ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT America de Cali / FT America de Cali✓
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.81
–
Recent results
America de Cali – last 6
DWDWWW
29 Aug
@ Jaguares
2–2
D
27 Aug
vs Junior
4–2
W
23 Aug
@ Santa Fe
0–0
D
10 Aug
vs Atletico Nacional
1–0
W
6 Aug
@ Once Caldas
1–0
W
2 Aug
vs Chico
7–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Alianza Valledupar – last 6
LLDLLD
30 Aug
vs Atletico Nacional
1–5
L
26 Aug
@ Cucuta
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Deportivo Pereira
0–0
D
9 Aug
vs Bucaramanga
2–3
L
1 Aug
vs Deportes Tolima
1–2
L
27 Jul
vs Fortaleza FC
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between America de Cali and Alianza Valledupar.
What is the prediction for America de Cali vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win America de Cali vs Alianza Valledupar?
On our numbers America de Cali have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Alianza Valledupar 16%.
How many goals will there be in America de Cali vs Alianza Valledupar?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for America de Cali vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our predicted score is America de Cali 1–0 Alianza Valledupar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is America de Cali vs Alianza Valledupar?
America de Cali vs Alianza Valledupar (Primera A) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
