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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Santa Fe v Millonarios: numbers & prediction

Primera A · Colombia
3–2
FT
Santa Fe 31%Draw 23%Millonarios 46% Expected goals 1.04 – 1.34
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultMillonarios to win ✗46% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.55

Santa Fe vs Millonarios: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Millonarios travel to face Santa Fe on Thursday 3 September in the Primera A – the ball rolls at 02:25 WAT. In the table, Santa Fe are 5th, upper half, on 31 points after 18 matches; Millonarios are 7th (upper half) with 27.

Current form

Santa Fe, last 5: DDDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Junior, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Millonarios, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Internacional de Bogota, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Santa Fe 1.0 xG, Millonarios 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Santa Fe 31%, draw 23%, Millonarios 46%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santa Fe 1–1 Millonarios. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Santa Fe31%fair 3.24 · @3.30
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.10
Millonarios46%fair 2.19 · @2.25
2.38Expected goals
1.04Santa Fe xG
1.34Millonarios xG
56%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%

From our goals model: Santa Fe 1.0 – 1.3 Millonarios expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMillonarios to win ✗46%2.192.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.311.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.782.00 ▲
Draw no betMillonarios (draw no bet) ✗60%1.68–
Asian handicapSanta Fe +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.501.48
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗59%1.691.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79%1.261.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗90%1.111.05
First team to scoreMillonarios to score first51%1.95–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Millonarios / FT Millonarios ✗25%3.93–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.55–

Recent results

Santa Fe – last 6

DDDDWW
30 Aug@ Junior1–1D
27 Aug@ River Plate1–1D
23 Augvs America de Cali0–0D
20 Augvs River Plate0–0D
8 Augvs Chico2–0W
6 Augvs Union Magdalena2–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Millonarios – last 6

DWDWWL
31 Augvs Internacional de Bogota0–0D
28 Aug@ Llaneros2–0W
22 Aug@ Águilas Doradas1–1D
5 Augvs Deportivo Pasto2–0W
2 Aug@ Junior1–0W
26 Julvs Bucaramanga0–1L
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Santa Fe and Millonarios.

Santa Fe vs Millonarios head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Santa Fe vs Millonarios?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Santa Fe vs Millonarios?

On our numbers Santa Fe have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Millonarios 46%.

How many goals will there be in Santa Fe vs Millonarios?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Santa Fe vs Millonarios?

Our predicted score is Santa Fe 1–1 Millonarios, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Santa Fe vs Millonarios?

Santa Fe vs Millonarios (Primera A) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 02:25 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.