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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chico v Deportivo Pasto: numbers & prediction

Primera A · Colombia · Estadio La Independencia

Chico

LLWWD
3–0
FT

Deportivo Pasto

WWLDL
Chico 36%Draw 25%Deportivo Pasto 39% Expected goals 1.26 – 1.33
56%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.78 · bookmaker 2.00 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
2.00Odds

Picks by market

ResultDeportivo Pasto to win ✗39% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.97

Chico vs Deportivo Pasto: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:10 WAT, Saturday 26 September: Chico v Deportivo Pasto in the Primera A, played at Estadio La Independencia. In the table, Chico are 15th, lower half, on 19 points after 18 matches; Deportivo Pasto are 18th (in the drop zone) with 15.

Current form

Chico, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Millonarios, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Deportivo Pasto, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Once Caldas, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Mar 2026) it ended Deportivo Pasto 2–0 Chico.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chico 1.3 xG, Deportivo Pasto 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chico 36%, draw 25%, Deportivo Pasto 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.78, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chico 1–1 Deportivo Pasto. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chico36%fair 2.77 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @2.90
Deportivo Pasto39%fair 2.54 · @2.80
2.59Expected goals
1.26Chico xG
1.33Deportivo Pasto xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%

From our goals model: Chico 1.3 – 1.3 Deportivo Pasto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportivo Pasto to win ✗39%2.542.80 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.782.00 ▲
Draw no betDeportivo Pasto (draw no bet) ✗52%1.92–
Asian handicapChico +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.92–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreDeportivo Pasto to score first ✗47%2.11–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deportivo Pasto / FT Deportivo Pasto ✗22%4.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.97–

Recent results

Chico – last 6

LLWWDD
19 Sep@ Millonarios0–3L
16 Sepvs Alianza Valledupar1–2L
13 Sepvs Independiente Medellin2–1W
5 Sepvs Once Caldas2–0W
30 Aug@ Águilas Doradas2–2D
26 Augvs Fortaleza FC0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Deportivo Pasto – last 6

WWLDLD
20 Sepvs Once Caldas1–0W
15 Sep@ America de Cali1–0W
10 Sepvs Independiente Medellin1–4L
6 Sep@ Cucuta2–2D
1 Sepvs Deportivo Pereira1–2L
28 Aug@ Internacional de Bogota1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Mar 2026Deportivo Pasto v Chico2–0
Chico vs Deportivo Pasto head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

More Primera A predictions

League hub
FT Once Caldas1 Bucaramanga3 158%1.91X22%3.10220%4.10 1.7–0.8xG 1XOnce Caldas or draw 80%@1.22 ✗
FT Deportivo Pereira0 Internacional de Bogota0 134%3.40X23%3.20243%2.25 1.2–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chico vs Deportivo Pasto?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.

Who will win Chico vs Deportivo Pasto?

On our numbers Chico have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Deportivo Pasto 39%.

How many goals will there be in Chico vs Deportivo Pasto?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chico vs Deportivo Pasto?

Our predicted score is Chico 1–1 Deportivo Pasto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Chico vs Deportivo Pasto?

Chico vs Deportivo Pasto (Primera A) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 00:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Independencia.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.