Once Caldas 58%Draw 22%Bucaramanga 20%Expected goals 1.66 – 0.84
80%
Betarazi pick
Once Caldas or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Once Caldas to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultOnce Caldas to win ✗58% · @1.91
Double chanceOnce Caldas or draw ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.54
Once Caldas vs Bucaramanga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bucaramanga travel to face Once Caldas on Saturday 26 September in the Primera A, with Estadio Palogrande the venue – the ball rolls at 02:15 WAT. In the table, Once Caldas are 8th, upper half, on 27 points after 18 matches; Bucaramanga are 4th (among the top four) with 32.
Current form
Once Caldas, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Deportivo Pasto, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Bucaramanga, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Internacional de Bogota, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Bucaramanga, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Once Caldas.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Mar 2026) it ended Bucaramanga 1–1 Once Caldas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Once Caldas 1.7 xG, Bucaramanga 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Once Caldas 58%, draw 22%, Bucaramanga 20%.
Lower-risk option: Once Caldas or draw (80%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Once Caldas to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Once Caldas or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Once Caldas 1–0 Bucaramanga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Once Caldas58%fair 1.73 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.10
Bucaramanga20%fair 5.01 · @4.10
2.49Expected goals
1.66Once Caldas xG
0.84Bucaramanga xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–111%
2–011%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Once Caldas 1.7 – 0.8 Bucaramanga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Once Caldas vs Bucaramanga?
Our pick is Once Caldas or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Once Caldas vs Bucaramanga?
On our numbers Once Caldas have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bucaramanga 20%.
How many goals will there be in Once Caldas vs Bucaramanga?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Once Caldas vs Bucaramanga?
Our predicted score is Once Caldas 1–0 Bucaramanga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Once Caldas vs Bucaramanga?
Once Caldas vs Bucaramanga (Primera A) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 02:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Palogrande.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
