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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cucuta v Llaneros: numbers & prediction

Primera A · Colombia · Estadio General Santander

Cucuta

LLDLW
2–1
FT
Cucuta 39%Draw 24%Llaneros 37% Expected goals 1.26 – 1.22
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Llaneros to win @ 3.20 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCucuta to win ✓39% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.33

Cucuta vs Llaneros: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 27 September the Primera A brings Cucuta against Llaneros at Estadio General Santander. Kick-off: 00:15 WAT. In the table, Cucuta are 11th, lower half, on 24 points after 18 matches; Llaneros are 12th (lower half) with 23. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Cucuta, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Deportivo Cali, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Llaneros, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Atletico Nacional, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Cucuta, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Llaneros.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Mar 2026) it ended Llaneros 2–2 Cucuta.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cucuta 1.3 xG, Llaneros 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cucuta 39%, draw 24%, Llaneros 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.83.
  • Price worth noting: Llaneros to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cucuta 1–1 Llaneros. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cucuta39%fair 2.57 · @2.35
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.10
Llaneros37%fair 2.71 · @3.20
2.47Expected goals
1.26Cucuta xG
1.22Llaneros xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: Cucuta 1.3 – 1.2 Llaneros expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCucuta to win ✓39%2.572.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓50%1.981.83
Draw no betCucuta (draw no bet) ✓51%1.95–
Asian handicapLlaneros +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.431.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.801.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.321.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.121.07
First team to scoreCucuta to score first ✓47%2.15–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cucuta / FT Cucuta ✓21%4.66–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8%12.33–

Recent results

Cucuta – last 6

LLDLWW
20 Sep@ Deportivo Cali0–3L
14 Sepvs Millonarios1–2L
6 Sepvs Deportivo Pasto2–2D
1 Sep@ Deportes Tolima1–2L
26 Augvs Alianza Valledupar1–0W
23 Aug@ Independiente Medellin1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Llaneros – last 6

WLLDLL
21 Sepvs Atletico Nacional2–0W
12 Sep@ Internacional de Bogota2–3L
8 Sepvs Deportes Tolima1–2L
2 Sep@ Quindio1–1D
30 Aug@ Independiente Medellin1–2L
28 Augvs Millonarios0–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Mar 2026Llaneros v Cucuta2–2
Cucuta vs Llaneros head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cucuta vs Llaneros?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Cucuta vs Llaneros?

On our numbers Cucuta have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Llaneros 37%.

How many goals will there be in Cucuta vs Llaneros?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cucuta vs Llaneros?

Our predicted score is Cucuta 1–1 Llaneros, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Cucuta vs Llaneros?

Cucuta vs Llaneros (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio General Santander.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.