Value bet: Alianza Valledupar to win @ 3.30 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultJaguares to win ✗41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.64
Jaguares vs Alianza Valledupar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Jaguares welcome Alianza Valledupar to Estadio Jaragüay De Monteria for a Primera A fixture on Sunday 27 September (22:00 WAT). In the table, Jaguares are 19th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 18 matches; Alianza Valledupar are 16th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
Jaguares, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Independiente Medellin, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Alianza Valledupar, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Santa Fe, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Mar 2026) it ended Alianza Valledupar 1–0 Jaguares.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jaguares 1.4 xG, Alianza Valledupar 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jaguares 41%, draw 24%, Alianza Valledupar 35%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Alianza Valledupar to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jaguares 1–1 Alianza Valledupar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jaguares41%fair 2.42 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.00
Alianza Valledupar35%fair 2.90 · @3.30
2.60Expected goals
1.37Jaguares xG
1.23Alianza Valledupar xG
52%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Jaguares 1.4 – 1.2 Alianza Valledupar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Jaguares vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Jaguares vs Alianza Valledupar?
On our numbers Jaguares have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Alianza Valledupar 35%.
How many goals will there be in Jaguares vs Alianza Valledupar?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jaguares vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our predicted score is Jaguares 1–1 Alianza Valledupar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Jaguares vs Alianza Valledupar?
Jaguares vs Alianza Valledupar (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jaragüay De Monteria.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
