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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Internacional de Bogota v Atletico Nacional: numbers & prediction

Primera A · Colombia · Estadio Metropolitano de Techo
Internacional de Bogota 18%Draw 23%Atletico Nacional 60% Expected goals 0.94 – 1.91
82%
Betarazi pick

Atletico Nacional or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultAtletico Nacional to win ✓60% · @1.75
Double chanceAtletico Nacional or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.08

Internacional de Bogota vs Atletico Nacional: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 17 September the Primera A brings Internacional de Bogota against Atletico Nacional at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo. Kick-off: 02:20 WAT. In the table, Internacional de Bogota are 13th, lower half, on 20 points after 18 matches; Atletico Nacional are 1st (leading the league) with 39. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Internacional de Bogota, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Llaneros, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Atletico Nacional, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Águilas Doradas, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Momentum favours Atletico Nacional, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.7 for Internacional de Bogota.

Head to head

When they last met (13 May 2026) it ended Atletico Nacional 7–1 Internacional de Bogota. The last 2 head-to-heads: Internacional de Bogota 0 wins, Atletico Nacional 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 5.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Internacional de Bogota 0.9 xG, Atletico Nacional 1.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Internacional de Bogota 18%, draw 23%, Atletico Nacional 60%.
  • Lower-risk option: Atletico Nacional or draw (82%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Atletico Nacional or draw (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Internacional de Bogota 0–1 Atletico Nacional. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Internacional de Bogota18%fair 5.70 · @4.40
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.30
Atletico Nacional60%fair 1.68 · @1.75
2.85Expected goals
0.94Internacional de Bogota xG
1.91Atletico Nacional xG
56%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–111%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%

From our goals model: Internacional de Bogota 0.9 – 1.9 Atletico Nacional expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtletico Nacional to win ✓60%1.681.75
Double chanceAtletico Nacional or draw ✓82%1.211.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.771.80
Draw no betAtletico Nacional (draw no bet) ✓77%1.29–
Asian handicapAtletico Nacional -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗84%1.19–
First team to scoreAtletico Nacional to score first63%1.58–
Half-time resultAtletico Nacional ahead at half-time ✗44%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Atletico Nacional / FT Atletico Nacional ✗38%2.63–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.08–

Recent results

Internacional de Bogota – last 6

WWDDDD
12 Sepvs Llaneros3–2W
10 Sep@ Real Cundinamarca2–1W
6 Sepvs Águilas Doradas2–2D
31 Aug@ Millonarios0–0D
28 Augvs Deportivo Pasto1–1D
24 Aug@ Deportivo Cali2–2D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Atletico Nacional – last 6

WWWWWL
13 Sepvs Águilas Doradas2–0W
8 Sepvs Deportivo Cali3–0W
30 Aug@ Alianza Valledupar5–1W
27 Augvs Deportivo Cali2–1W
23 Aug@ Fortaleza FC2–1W
10 Aug@ America de Cali0–1L
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 May 2026Atletico Nacional v Internacional de Bogota7–1
22 Mar 2026Atletico Nacional v Internacional de Bogota3–0
Internacional de Bogota vs Atletico Nacional head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Internacional de Bogota vs Atletico Nacional?

Our pick is Atletico Nacional or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Internacional de Bogota vs Atletico Nacional?

On our numbers Internacional de Bogota have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Atletico Nacional 60%.

How many goals will there be in Internacional de Bogota vs Atletico Nacional?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Internacional de Bogota vs Atletico Nacional?

Our predicted score is Internacional de Bogota 0–1 Atletico Nacional, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Internacional de Bogota vs Atletico Nacional?

Internacional de Bogota vs Atletico Nacional (Primera A) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 02:20 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.